In Texas' 33rd Congressional District, a newly redrawn Dallas-area seat with 55% Hispanic population and a strong Democratic lean—Kamala Harris won by 71%-27% in 2024, mirroring prior House results where Democrats exceeded 65%—traders price the Democratic Party at 91.5% to claim victory on November 3. Incumbent Marc Veasey's retirement opened the race, but May 26 primary runoffs pit Colin Allred against Rep. Julie Johnson for Democrats and Patrick Gillespie against John Sims for Republicans, with forecasters unanimously rating it Solid Democratic. Recent runoff developments, including Allred's fundraising dominance and mutual attacks over records and investments, have not eroded the district's fundamentals. GOP odds linger due to potential national midterm dynamics, Dem turnout risks post-primary, or unforeseen scandals, though such shifts remain improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,553 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$155 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Texas' 33rd Congressional District, a newly redrawn Dallas-area seat with 55% Hispanic population and a strong Democratic lean—Kamala Harris won by 71%-27% in 2024, mirroring prior House results where Democrats exceeded 65%—traders price the Democratic Party at 91.5% to claim victory on November 3. Incumbent Marc Veasey's retirement opened the race, but May 26 primary runoffs pit Colin Allred against Rep. Julie Johnson for Democrats and Patrick Gillespie against John Sims for Republicans, with forecasters unanimously rating it Solid Democratic. Recent runoff developments, including Allred's fundraising dominance and mutual attacks over records and investments, have not eroded the district's fundamentals. GOP odds linger due to potential national midterm dynamics, Dem turnout risks post-primary, or unforeseen scandals, though such shifts remain improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$2,708종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Texas' 33rd Congressional District, a newly redrawn Dallas-area seat with 55% Hispanic population and a strong Democratic lean—Kamala Harris won by 71%-27% in 2024, mirroring prior House results where Democrats exceeded 65%—traders price the Democratic Party at 91.5% to claim victory on November 3. Incumbent Marc Veasey's retirement opened the race, but May 26 primary runoffs pit Colin Allred against Rep. Julie Johnson for Democrats and Patrick Gillespie against John Sims for Republicans, with forecasters unanimously rating it Solid Democratic. Recent runoff developments, including Allred's fundraising dominance and mutual attacks over records and investments, have not eroded the district's fundamentals. GOP odds linger due to potential national midterm dynamics, Dem turnout risks post-primary, or unforeseen scandals, though such shifts remain improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,708종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Texas' 33rd Congressional District, a newly redrawn Dallas-area seat with 55% Hispanic population and a strong Democratic lean—Kamala Harris won by 71%-27% in 2024, mirroring prior House results where Democrats exceeded 65%—traders price the Democratic Party at 91.5% to claim victory on November 3. Incumbent Marc Veasey's retirement opened the race, but May 26 primary runoffs pit Colin Allred against Rep. Julie Johnson for Democrats and Patrick Gillespie against John Sims for Republicans, with forecasters unanimously rating it Solid Democratic. Recent runoff developments, including Allred's fundraising dominance and mutual attacks over records and investments, have not eroded the district's fundamentals. GOP odds linger due to potential national midterm dynamics, Dem turnout risks post-primary, or unforeseen scandals, though such shifts remain improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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