Redistricting has transformed Texas’s 9th Congressional District into a solidly Republican seat, shifting its partisan balance enough for nonpartisan forecasters to rate the race as a clear GOP advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Leticia Gutierrez secured her party’s nomination outright in the March 3 primary with more than half the vote, while Republicans advanced Army veteran Alex Mealer, who received an endorsement from President Trump, and state Representative Briscoe Cain to a May 26 runoff. With no competitive general-election polling released and strong Republican fundraising, trader consensus reflects the district’s altered voter base and limited path for Democratic victory. The upcoming runoff outcome will set the final Republican nominee for the November ballot.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
31%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$1,960 거래량
75%
Democratic Party
$2,011 거래량
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has transformed Texas’s 9th Congressional District into a solidly Republican seat, shifting its partisan balance enough for nonpartisan forecasters to rate the race as a clear GOP advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Leticia Gutierrez secured her party’s nomination outright in the March 3 primary with more than half the vote, while Republicans advanced Army veteran Alex Mealer, who received an endorsement from President Trump, and state Representative Briscoe Cain to a May 26 runoff. With no competitive general-election polling released and strong Republican fundraising, trader consensus reflects the district’s altered voter base and limited path for Democratic victory. The upcoming runoff outcome will set the final Republican nominee for the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ET
거래량
$3,971종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has transformed Texas’s 9th Congressional District into a solidly Republican seat, shifting its partisan balance enough for nonpartisan forecasters to rate the race as a clear GOP advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Leticia Gutierrez secured her party’s nomination outright in the March 3 primary with more than half the vote, while Republicans advanced Army veteran Alex Mealer, who received an endorsement from President Trump, and state Representative Briscoe Cain to a May 26 runoff. With no competitive general-election polling released and strong Republican fundraising, trader consensus reflects the district’s altered voter base and limited path for Democratic victory. The upcoming runoff outcome will set the final Republican nominee for the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,971종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has transformed Texas’s 9th Congressional District into a solidly Republican seat, shifting its partisan balance enough for nonpartisan forecasters to rate the race as a clear GOP advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Leticia Gutierrez secured her party’s nomination outright in the March 3 primary with more than half the vote, while Republicans advanced Army veteran Alex Mealer, who received an endorsement from President Trump, and state Representative Briscoe Cain to a May 26 runoff. With no competitive general-election polling released and strong Republican fundraising, trader consensus reflects the district’s altered voter base and limited path for Democratic victory. The upcoming runoff outcome will set the final Republican nominee for the November ballot.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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