Incumbent Republican Keith Self, who won his March 3 primary decisively, holds a commanding trader consensus at 84% to retain Texas' 3rd Congressional District against Democratic nominee Evan Hunt in the November 3 general election. This solidly Republican seat, redrawn in 2025 and rated Safe Republican by forecasters like Cook Political Report, aligns with Self's 2024 victory margin exceeding 20 points amid strong Collin County performance. Absent public polling, market pricing reflects incumbency advantages, historical base rates for safe House seats, and Self's fundraising edge. Recent weeks show Hunt emphasizing town halls while Self focuses on legislative bills and oversight probes, but no catalysts have shifted probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,851 거래량
$13,851 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
85%
민주당
29%
$13,851 거래량
$13,851 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$7,676 거래량
85%
민주당
$6,175 거래량
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Keith Self, who won his March 3 primary decisively, holds a commanding trader consensus at 84% to retain Texas' 3rd Congressional District against Democratic nominee Evan Hunt in the November 3 general election. This solidly Republican seat, redrawn in 2025 and rated Safe Republican by forecasters like Cook Political Report, aligns with Self's 2024 victory margin exceeding 20 points amid strong Collin County performance. Absent public polling, market pricing reflects incumbency advantages, historical base rates for safe House seats, and Self's fundraising edge. Recent weeks show Hunt emphasizing town halls while Self focuses on legislative bills and oversight probes, but no catalysts have shifted probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$13,851종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Keith Self, who won his March 3 primary decisively, holds a commanding trader consensus at 84% to retain Texas' 3rd Congressional District against Democratic nominee Evan Hunt in the November 3 general election. This solidly Republican seat, redrawn in 2025 and rated Safe Republican by forecasters like Cook Political Report, aligns with Self's 2024 victory margin exceeding 20 points amid strong Collin County performance. Absent public polling, market pricing reflects incumbency advantages, historical base rates for safe House seats, and Self's fundraising edge. Recent weeks show Hunt emphasizing town halls while Self focuses on legislative bills and oversight probes, but no catalysts have shifted probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$13,851종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Keith Self, who won his March 3 primary decisively, holds a commanding trader consensus at 84% to retain Texas' 3rd Congressional District against Democratic nominee Evan Hunt in the November 3 general election. This solidly Republican seat, redrawn in 2025 and rated Safe Republican by forecasters like Cook Political Report, aligns with Self's 2024 victory margin exceeding 20 points amid strong Collin County performance. Absent public polling, market pricing reflects incumbency advantages, historical base rates for safe House seats, and Self's fundraising edge. Recent weeks show Hunt emphasizing town halls while Self focuses on legislative bills and oversight probes, but no catalysts have shifted probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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