Polymarket traders price a 96% implied probability on no Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the fintech giant's deliberate strategy of staying private amid ample liquidity options. A February 2026 tender offer valued Stripe at $159 billion—up 49% from September 2025—allowing employee share sales without public listing pressures, while co-founder John Collison reiterated in January no rush to go public despite processing nearly $2 trillion in payments last year and profitability. Absent any S-1 filing or announcement in the past 45 days, the typical 4-6 month IPO timeline leaves scant runway. A surprise confidential SEC draft before April and accelerated roadshow could challenge this consensus, though such moves remain improbable given current tender-driven stability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음 96.0%
800–1,000억 1.1%
1,000억~1,200억 1.0%
800억 달러 미만 <1%
$156,131 거래량
$156,131 거래량
2026.06.30
800억 달러 미만
1%
800–1,000억
1%
1,000억~1,200억
1%
120–140B
1%
1,400억 달러 이상
<1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음
96%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음 96.0%
800–1,000억 1.1%
1,000억~1,200억 1.0%
800억 달러 미만 <1%
$156,131 거래량
$156,131 거래량
2026.06.30
800억 달러 미만
$68,754 거래량
1%
800–1,000억
$13,604 거래량
1%
1,000억~1,200억
$14,933 거래량
1%
120–140B
$32,030 거래량
1%
1,400억 달러 이상
$11,564 거래량
<1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음
$15,248 거래량
96%
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Polymarket traders price a 96% implied probability on no Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the fintech giant's deliberate strategy of staying private amid ample liquidity options. A February 2026 tender offer valued Stripe at $159 billion—up 49% from September 2025—allowing employee share sales without public listing pressures, while co-founder John Collison reiterated in January no rush to go public despite processing nearly $2 trillion in payments last year and profitability. Absent any S-1 filing or announcement in the past 45 days, the typical 4-6 month IPO timeline leaves scant runway. A surprise confidential SEC draft before April and accelerated roadshow could challenge this consensus, though such moves remain improbable given current tender-driven stability.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ET
거래량
$156,131종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Polymarket traders price a 96% implied probability on no Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the fintech giant's deliberate strategy of staying private amid ample liquidity options. A February 2026 tender offer valued Stripe at $159 billion—up 49% from September 2025—allowing employee share sales without public listing pressures, while co-founder John Collison reiterated in January no rush to go public despite processing nearly $2 trillion in payments last year and profitability. Absent any S-1 filing or announcement in the past 45 days, the typical 4-6 month IPO timeline leaves scant runway. A surprise confidential SEC draft before April and accelerated roadshow could challenge this consensus, though such moves remain improbable given current tender-driven stability.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$156,131종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 96% implied probability on no Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the fintech giant's deliberate strategy of staying private amid ample liquidity options. A February 2026 tender offer valued Stripe at $159 billion—up 49% from September 2025—allowing employee share sales without public listing pressures, while co-founder John Collison reiterated in January no rush to go public despite processing nearly $2 trillion in payments last year and profitability. Absent any S-1 filing or announcement in the past 45 days, the typical 4-6 month IPO timeline leaves scant runway. A surprise confidential SEC draft before April and accelerated roadshow could challenge this consensus, though such moves remain improbable given current tender-driven stability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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