SpaceX’s explicit SEC S-1 filing on May 20, 2026, confirming plans to list Class A shares under ticker SPCX on Nasdaq has driven the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for that exchange. The prospectus details a record IPO targeting $75 billion at $135 per share with an expected debut around June 12, aligning with Nasdaq’s fast-track rules for large-cap entrants and mirroring Elon Musk’s Tesla precedent on the same venue. This official documentation from the company itself, combined with accelerated regulatory review, leaves negligible room for alternatives like NYSE. A reversal would require an unprecedented late-stage pivot by SpaceX or regulatory intervention, both historically rare once a prospectus is public.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트나스닥 99.4%
기타 <1%
뉴욕증권거래소 <1%
$107,568 거래량
$107,568 거래량
나스닥
99%
기타
1%
뉴욕증권거래소
<1%
나스닥 99.4%
기타 <1%
뉴욕증권거래소 <1%
$107,568 거래량
$107,568 거래량
나스닥
99%
기타
1%
뉴욕증권거래소
<1%
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s explicit SEC S-1 filing on May 20, 2026, confirming plans to list Class A shares under ticker SPCX on Nasdaq has driven the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for that exchange. The prospectus details a record IPO targeting $75 billion at $135 per share with an expected debut around June 12, aligning with Nasdaq’s fast-track rules for large-cap entrants and mirroring Elon Musk’s Tesla precedent on the same venue. This official documentation from the company itself, combined with accelerated regulatory review, leaves negligible room for alternatives like NYSE. A reversal would require an unprecedented late-stage pivot by SpaceX or regulatory intervention, both historically rare once a prospectus is public.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문