Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 92% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of early May, despite speculation around an H2 2026 debut. The data analytics and AI platform, fresh off a $5 billion equity raise in February at a $134 billion private valuation and surpassing $5.4 billion in annual recurring revenue with 65% year-over-year growth, faces reduced liquidity pressure after securing substantial debt and equity. Typical IPO timelines—requiring 3-6 months from confidential filing through roadshow—leave scant room for a June listing without prior signals. A surprise confidential S-1 or accelerated regulatory path amid booming AI infrastructure demand could challenge this positioning, though current silence reinforces trader caution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음 92.0%
2,500억+ 5.1%
1,000억–1,250억 달러 3.7%
2,000억~2,500억 2.0%
$402,583 거래량
$402,583 거래량
2026.06.30
<1,000억
<1%
1,000억–1,250억 달러
4%
1,250억~1,500억 달러
2%
1,500~1,750억 달러
<1%
1,750–2,000억
<1%
2,000억~2,500억
2%
2,500억+
5%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음
92%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음 92.0%
2,500억+ 5.1%
1,000억–1,250억 달러 3.7%
2,000억~2,500억 2.0%
$402,583 거래량
$402,583 거래량
2026.06.30
<1,000억
$33,162 거래량
<1%
1,000억–1,250억 달러
$61,638 거래량
4%
1,250억~1,500억 달러
$26,446 거래량
2%
1,500~1,750억 달러
$59,736 거래량
<1%
1,750–2,000억
$58,106 거래량
<1%
2,000억~2,500억
$21,103 거래량
2%
2,500억+
$125,946 거래량
5%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음
$16,446 거래량
92%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 92% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of early May, despite speculation around an H2 2026 debut. The data analytics and AI platform, fresh off a $5 billion equity raise in February at a $134 billion private valuation and surpassing $5.4 billion in annual recurring revenue with 65% year-over-year growth, faces reduced liquidity pressure after securing substantial debt and equity. Typical IPO timelines—requiring 3-6 months from confidential filing through roadshow—leave scant room for a June listing without prior signals. A surprise confidential S-1 or accelerated regulatory path amid booming AI infrastructure demand could challenge this positioning, though current silence reinforces trader caution.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
거래량
$402,583종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 92% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of early May, despite speculation around an H2 2026 debut. The data analytics and AI platform, fresh off a $5 billion equity raise in February at a $134 billion private valuation and surpassing $5.4 billion in annual recurring revenue with 65% year-over-year growth, faces reduced liquidity pressure after securing substantial debt and equity. Typical IPO timelines—requiring 3-6 months from confidential filing through roadshow—leave scant room for a June listing without prior signals. A surprise confidential S-1 or accelerated regulatory path amid booming AI infrastructure demand could challenge this positioning, though current silence reinforces trader caution.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$402,583종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 92% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of early May, despite speculation around an H2 2026 debut. The data analytics and AI platform, fresh off a $5 billion equity raise in February at a $134 billion private valuation and surpassing $5.4 billion in annual recurring revenue with 65% year-over-year growth, faces reduced liquidity pressure after securing substantial debt and equity. Typical IPO timelines—requiring 3-6 months from confidential filing through roadshow—leave scant room for a June listing without prior signals. A surprise confidential S-1 or accelerated regulatory path amid booming AI infrastructure demand could challenge this positioning, though current silence reinforces trader caution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문