Databricks' market-implied 96% probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the absence of an S-1 filing and consistent signals that the data and AI platform company is targeting a second-half 2026 or 2027 listing. Recent private funding rounds, including a $4 billion Series L at a $134 billion valuation in late 2025 and $1.8 billion in debt financing in January 2026, have provided ample capital while the CEO has described the firm as IPO-ready but focused on long-term growth rather than an accelerated timeline. With no public registration statements or regulatory steps completed as of April 2026, analysts project a Q3 filing at earliest. Market conditions, earnings momentum, or an unexpected strategic shift could still compress the schedule, though such catalysts appear improbable within the next 30 days.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음 96.1%
1,000억–1,250억 달러 1.4%
1,250억~1,500억 달러 1.3%
2,000억~2,500억 1.0%
$412,394 거래량
$412,394 거래량
2026.06.30
<1,000억
<1%
1,000억–1,250억 달러
1%
1,250억~1,500억 달러
1%
1,500~1,750억 달러
<1%
1,750–2,000억
<1%
2,000억~2,500억
1%
2,500억+
<1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음
96%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음 96.1%
1,000억–1,250억 달러 1.4%
1,250억~1,500억 달러 1.3%
2,000억~2,500억 1.0%
$412,394 거래량
$412,394 거래량
2026.06.30
<1,000억
$33,965 거래량
<1%
1,000억–1,250억 달러
$62,580 거래량
1%
1,250억~1,500억 달러
$27,166 거래량
1%
1,500~1,750억 달러
$60,230 거래량
<1%
1,750–2,000억
$58,483 거래량
<1%
2,000억~2,500억
$21,515 거래량
1%
2,500억+
$127,318 거래량
<1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음
$21,137 거래량
96%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Databricks' market-implied 96% probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the absence of an S-1 filing and consistent signals that the data and AI platform company is targeting a second-half 2026 or 2027 listing. Recent private funding rounds, including a $4 billion Series L at a $134 billion valuation in late 2025 and $1.8 billion in debt financing in January 2026, have provided ample capital while the CEO has described the firm as IPO-ready but focused on long-term growth rather than an accelerated timeline. With no public registration statements or regulatory steps completed as of April 2026, analysts project a Q3 filing at earliest. Market conditions, earnings momentum, or an unexpected strategic shift could still compress the schedule, though such catalysts appear improbable within the next 30 days.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
거래량
$412,394종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Databricks' market-implied 96% probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the absence of an S-1 filing and consistent signals that the data and AI platform company is targeting a second-half 2026 or 2027 listing. Recent private funding rounds, including a $4 billion Series L at a $134 billion valuation in late 2025 and $1.8 billion in debt financing in January 2026, have provided ample capital while the CEO has described the firm as IPO-ready but focused on long-term growth rather than an accelerated timeline. With no public registration statements or regulatory steps completed as of April 2026, analysts project a Q3 filing at earliest. Market conditions, earnings momentum, or an unexpected strategic shift could still compress the schedule, though such catalysts appear improbable within the next 30 days.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$412,394종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Databricks' market-implied 96% probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the absence of an S-1 filing and consistent signals that the data and AI platform company is targeting a second-half 2026 or 2027 listing. Recent private funding rounds, including a $4 billion Series L at a $134 billion valuation in late 2025 and $1.8 billion in debt financing in January 2026, have provided ample capital while the CEO has described the firm as IPO-ready but focused on long-term growth rather than an accelerated timeline. With no public registration statements or regulatory steps completed as of April 2026, analysts project a Q3 filing at earliest. Market conditions, earnings momentum, or an unexpected strategic shift could still compress the schedule, though such catalysts appear improbable within the next 30 days.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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