SpaceX’s accelerated IPO process, including its public S-1 filing on May 20 and targets for a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX as early as June 12, underpins the 96% market-implied probability for a June listing. Faster-than-expected SEC review enabled an earlier roadshow starting around June 4 and pricing near June 11, with the offering sized at roughly $75 billion and a $1.75 trillion valuation that would rank among history’s largest. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed milestones and strong institutional demand signals, while scenarios such as roadshow delays, adverse market volatility, or last-minute regulatory hurdles represent the limited paths that could shift timing into July or beyond.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 96%
7월 3.6%
2027년 이전 IPO 없음 1.4%
10월 <1%
$383,051 거래량
$383,051 거래량
2026.12.31
5월
<1%
6월
96%
7월
4%
8월
<1%
9월
<1%
10월
<1%
11월
<1%
12월
<1%
2027년 이전 IPO 없음
1%
6월 96%
7월 3.6%
2027년 이전 IPO 없음 1.4%
10월 <1%
$383,051 거래량
$383,051 거래량
2026.12.31
5월
$76,906 거래량
<1%
6월
$117,527 거래량
96%
7월
$21,016 거래량
4%
8월
$12,961 거래량
<1%
9월
$13,030 거래량
<1%
10월
$11,451 거래량
<1%
11월
$12,991 거래량
<1%
12월
$8,276 거래량
<1%
2027년 이전 IPO 없음
$18,219 거래량
1%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX’s accelerated IPO process, including its public S-1 filing on May 20 and targets for a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX as early as June 12, underpins the 96% market-implied probability for a June listing. Faster-than-expected SEC review enabled an earlier roadshow starting around June 4 and pricing near June 11, with the offering sized at roughly $75 billion and a $1.75 trillion valuation that would rank among history’s largest. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed milestones and strong institutional demand signals, while scenarios such as roadshow delays, adverse market volatility, or last-minute regulatory hurdles represent the limited paths that could shift timing into July or beyond.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
마켓 개설일: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
거래량
$383,051종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX’s accelerated IPO process, including its public S-1 filing on May 20 and targets for a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX as early as June 12, underpins the 96% market-implied probability for a June listing. Faster-than-expected SEC review enabled an earlier roadshow starting around June 4 and pricing near June 11, with the offering sized at roughly $75 billion and a $1.75 trillion valuation that would rank among history’s largest. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed milestones and strong institutional demand signals, while scenarios such as roadshow delays, adverse market volatility, or last-minute regulatory hurdles represent the limited paths that could shift timing into July or beyond.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
거래량
$383,051종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO process, including its public S-1 filing on May 20 and targets for a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX as early as June 12, underpins the 96% market-implied probability for a June listing. Faster-than-expected SEC review enabled an earlier roadshow starting around June 4 and pricing near June 11, with the offering sized at roughly $75 billion and a $1.75 trillion valuation that would rank among history’s largest. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed milestones and strong institutional demand signals, while scenarios such as roadshow delays, adverse market volatility, or last-minute regulatory hurdles represent the limited paths that could shift timing into July or beyond.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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