Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 gave it a clear procedural lead over OpenAI, which followed on June 8, positioning the Claude maker to potentially complete its S-1 review and list first in the fall of 2026. Both frontier AI labs are now formally in the IPO queue targeting near-trillion-dollar valuations amid strong investor appetite for large language model businesses, yet Anthropic’s earlier start, recent $965 billion private round, and reported October–November window have shifted trader consensus toward a 69.5% probability it debuts ahead. Key swing factors include the pace of SEC comments on revenue recognition and AI risk disclosures, any last-minute private funding rounds, and market volatility that could compress or extend timelines for either company.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Anthropic
$170,383 거래량
$170,383 거래량
2027.12.31
Anthropic
$170,383 거래량
$170,383 거래량
2027.12.31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 gave it a clear procedural lead over OpenAI, which followed on June 8, positioning the Claude maker to potentially complete its S-1 review and list first in the fall of 2026. Both frontier AI labs are now formally in the IPO queue targeting near-trillion-dollar valuations amid strong investor appetite for large language model businesses, yet Anthropic’s earlier start, recent $965 billion private round, and reported October–November window have shifted trader consensus toward a 69.5% probability it debuts ahead. Key swing factors include the pace of SEC comments on revenue recognition and AI risk disclosures, any last-minute private funding rounds, and market volatility that could compress or extend timelines for either company.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
거래량
$170,383종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 gave it a clear procedural lead over OpenAI, which followed on June 8, positioning the Claude maker to potentially complete its S-1 review and list first in the fall of 2026. Both frontier AI labs are now formally in the IPO queue targeting near-trillion-dollar valuations amid strong investor appetite for large language model businesses, yet Anthropic’s earlier start, recent $965 billion private round, and reported October–November window have shifted trader consensus toward a 69.5% probability it debuts ahead. Key swing factors include the pace of SEC comments on revenue recognition and AI risk disclosures, any last-minute private funding rounds, and market volatility that could compress or extend timelines for either company.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$170,383종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 gave it a clear procedural lead over OpenAI, which followed on June 8, positioning the Claude maker to potentially complete its S-1 review and list first in the fall of 2026. Both frontier AI labs are now formally in the IPO queue targeting near-trillion-dollar valuations amid strong investor appetite for large language model businesses, yet Anthropic’s earlier start, recent $965 billion private round, and reported October–November window have shifted trader consensus toward a 69.5% probability it debuts ahead. Key swing factors include the pace of SEC comments on revenue recognition and AI risk disclosures, any last-minute private funding rounds, and market volatility that could compress or extend timelines for either company.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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