New York’s 8th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, anchored by its D+24 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 75% share in 2024. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries holds the seat with strong local organization and name recognition, while Republican primary contenders face structural headwinds ahead of the June 23 contest and November general election. Trader consensus reflects these baseline factors rather than short-term volatility. Potential shifts could stem from an unusually strong Republican nominee, a significant national political realignment, or unexpected primary turbulence, though the district’s underlying demographics and voting patterns have historically limited such changes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$21,242 거래량
$21,242 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
92%
공화당
8%
$21,242 거래량
$21,242 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$11,494 거래량
92%
공화당
$9,747 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 8th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, anchored by its D+24 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 75% share in 2024. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries holds the seat with strong local organization and name recognition, while Republican primary contenders face structural headwinds ahead of the June 23 contest and November general election. Trader consensus reflects these baseline factors rather than short-term volatility. Potential shifts could stem from an unusually strong Republican nominee, a significant national political realignment, or unexpected primary turbulence, though the district’s underlying demographics and voting patterns have historically limited such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
거래량
$21,242종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 8th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, anchored by its D+24 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 75% share in 2024. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries holds the seat with strong local organization and name recognition, while Republican primary contenders face structural headwinds ahead of the June 23 contest and November general election. Trader consensus reflects these baseline factors rather than short-term volatility. Potential shifts could stem from an unusually strong Republican nominee, a significant national political realignment, or unexpected primary turbulence, though the district’s underlying demographics and voting patterns have historically limited such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$21,242종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 8th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, anchored by its D+24 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 75% share in 2024. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries holds the seat with strong local organization and name recognition, while Republican primary contenders face structural headwinds ahead of the June 23 contest and November general election. Trader consensus reflects these baseline factors rather than short-term volatility. Potential shifts could stem from an unusually strong Republican nominee, a significant national political realignment, or unexpected primary turbulence, though the district’s underlying demographics and voting patterns have historically limited such changes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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