Traders assign near-certainty to a "No" outcome on the arrest of Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei by the June 30, 2026 resolution date because no criminal investigations, indictments, arrest warrants, or public accusations of personal wrongdoing have emerged against the executive. The company's ongoing civil and regulatory dispute with the Pentagon over AI usage restrictions and a supply chain risk designation remains a contractual and administrative matter, not a criminal proceeding targeting the individual. Recent public statements and policy engagements by the CEO have centered on AI safety, development priorities, and economic impacts without triggering law enforcement actions. Near-certain consensus reflects the complete absence of verifiable developments indicating imminent detention. Scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden revelations of financial misconduct, personal legal violations, or an unexpected escalation from existing regulatory tensions into criminal charges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$165,400 거래량
$165,400 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$165,400 거래량
$165,400 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign near-certainty to a "No" outcome on the arrest of Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei by the June 30, 2026 resolution date because no criminal investigations, indictments, arrest warrants, or public accusations of personal wrongdoing have emerged against the executive. The company's ongoing civil and regulatory dispute with the Pentagon over AI usage restrictions and a supply chain risk designation remains a contractual and administrative matter, not a criminal proceeding targeting the individual. Recent public statements and policy engagements by the CEO have centered on AI safety, development priorities, and economic impacts without triggering law enforcement actions. Near-certain consensus reflects the complete absence of verifiable developments indicating imminent detention. Scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden revelations of financial misconduct, personal legal violations, or an unexpected escalation from existing regulatory tensions into criminal charges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
거래량
$165,400종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign near-certainty to a "No" outcome on the arrest of Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei by the June 30, 2026 resolution date because no criminal investigations, indictments, arrest warrants, or public accusations of personal wrongdoing have emerged against the executive. The company's ongoing civil and regulatory dispute with the Pentagon over AI usage restrictions and a supply chain risk designation remains a contractual and administrative matter, not a criminal proceeding targeting the individual. Recent public statements and policy engagements by the CEO have centered on AI safety, development priorities, and economic impacts without triggering law enforcement actions. Near-certain consensus reflects the complete absence of verifiable developments indicating imminent detention. Scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden revelations of financial misconduct, personal legal violations, or an unexpected escalation from existing regulatory tensions into criminal charges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$165,400종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign near-certainty to a "No" outcome on the arrest of Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei by the June 30, 2026 resolution date because no criminal investigations, indictments, arrest warrants, or public accusations of personal wrongdoing have emerged against the executive. The company's ongoing civil and regulatory dispute with the Pentagon over AI usage restrictions and a supply chain risk designation remains a contractual and administrative matter, not a criminal proceeding targeting the individual. Recent public statements and policy engagements by the CEO have centered on AI safety, development priorities, and economic impacts without triggering law enforcement actions. Near-certain consensus reflects the complete absence of verifiable developments indicating imminent detention. Scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden revelations of financial misconduct, personal legal violations, or an unexpected escalation from existing regulatory tensions into criminal charges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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