Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.5% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any criminal charges, indictments, or DOJ investigations despite his company's high-profile civil dispute with the Pentagon. Tensions escalated in February when Anthropic refused unrestricted access to its AI models over concerns about autonomous weapons and surveillance, prompting a Trump administration "supply chain risk" designation and threats of civil and criminal consequences; however, federal judges issued injunctions in March blocking the bans as illegal retaliation. Recent April developments, including a White House meeting and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's criticism, have kept rhetoric heated but confined to litigation, with no escalation to prosecution. Late-breaking indictments or executive actions could shift odds, though court precedents limit feasibility.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$159,377 거래량
$159,377 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$159,377 거래량
$159,377 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.5% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any criminal charges, indictments, or DOJ investigations despite his company's high-profile civil dispute with the Pentagon. Tensions escalated in February when Anthropic refused unrestricted access to its AI models over concerns about autonomous weapons and surveillance, prompting a Trump administration "supply chain risk" designation and threats of civil and criminal consequences; however, federal judges issued injunctions in March blocking the bans as illegal retaliation. Recent April developments, including a White House meeting and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's criticism, have kept rhetoric heated but confined to litigation, with no escalation to prosecution. Late-breaking indictments or executive actions could shift odds, though court precedents limit feasibility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
거래량
$159,377종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.5% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any criminal charges, indictments, or DOJ investigations despite his company's high-profile civil dispute with the Pentagon. Tensions escalated in February when Anthropic refused unrestricted access to its AI models over concerns about autonomous weapons and surveillance, prompting a Trump administration "supply chain risk" designation and threats of civil and criminal consequences; however, federal judges issued injunctions in March blocking the bans as illegal retaliation. Recent April developments, including a White House meeting and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's criticism, have kept rhetoric heated but confined to litigation, with no escalation to prosecution. Late-breaking indictments or executive actions could shift odds, though court precedents limit feasibility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$159,377종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.5% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any criminal charges, indictments, or DOJ investigations despite his company's high-profile civil dispute with the Pentagon. Tensions escalated in February when Anthropic refused unrestricted access to its AI models over concerns about autonomous weapons and surveillance, prompting a Trump administration "supply chain risk" designation and threats of civil and criminal consequences; however, federal judges issued injunctions in March blocking the bans as illegal retaliation. Recent April developments, including a White House meeting and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's criticism, have kept rhetoric heated but confined to litigation, with no escalation to prosecution. Late-breaking indictments or executive actions could shift odds, though court precedents limit feasibility.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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