New York’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 partisan voter index and consistent historical margins exceeding 50 points for Democratic candidates. Incumbent Representative Gregory Meeks, first elected in 1998, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest and enters the general election with substantial fundraising and institutional support. The Republican primary on the same date has drawn limited interest, consistent with the seat’s structural barriers. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Shifts remain possible only through late-breaking developments such as an unexpected primary upset, candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout in the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$22,223 거래량
$22,223 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$22,223 거래량
$22,223 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$14,739 거래량
94%
공화당
$7,484 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 partisan voter index and consistent historical margins exceeding 50 points for Democratic candidates. Incumbent Representative Gregory Meeks, first elected in 1998, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest and enters the general election with substantial fundraising and institutional support. The Republican primary on the same date has drawn limited interest, consistent with the seat’s structural barriers. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Shifts remain possible only through late-breaking developments such as an unexpected primary upset, candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
거래량
$22,223종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 partisan voter index and consistent historical margins exceeding 50 points for Democratic candidates. Incumbent Representative Gregory Meeks, first elected in 1998, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest and enters the general election with substantial fundraising and institutional support. The Republican primary on the same date has drawn limited interest, consistent with the seat’s structural barriers. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Shifts remain possible only through late-breaking developments such as an unexpected primary upset, candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$22,223종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 partisan voter index and consistent historical margins exceeding 50 points for Democratic candidates. Incumbent Representative Gregory Meeks, first elected in 1998, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest and enters the general election with substantial fundraising and institutional support. The Republican primary on the same date has drawn limited interest, consistent with the seat’s structural barriers. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Shifts remain possible only through late-breaking developments such as an unexpected primary upset, candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout in the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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