North Carolina's 12th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, evidenced by its D+24 partisan voting index and repeated double-digit victories for longtime incumbent Alma Adams. Adams secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Jack Codiga emerged from a low-profile contest. Recent redistricting efforts elsewhere in the state have not altered this seat's underlying demographics or voting patterns. Traders price the Democratic Party at 94.5 percent because structural factors such as registration advantages and historical turnout leave limited openings for an upset. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen development before the November 3, 2026, general election, such as a major scandal or significant national political realignment that shifts voter priorities in this urban Charlotte-area district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$34,219 거래량
$34,219 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
6%
$34,219 거래량
$34,219 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$16,152 거래량
95%
공화당
$18,067 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 12th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, evidenced by its D+24 partisan voting index and repeated double-digit victories for longtime incumbent Alma Adams. Adams secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Jack Codiga emerged from a low-profile contest. Recent redistricting efforts elsewhere in the state have not altered this seat's underlying demographics or voting patterns. Traders price the Democratic Party at 94.5 percent because structural factors such as registration advantages and historical turnout leave limited openings for an upset. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen development before the November 3, 2026, general election, such as a major scandal or significant national political realignment that shifts voter priorities in this urban Charlotte-area district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$34,219종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 12th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, evidenced by its D+24 partisan voting index and repeated double-digit victories for longtime incumbent Alma Adams. Adams secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Jack Codiga emerged from a low-profile contest. Recent redistricting efforts elsewhere in the state have not altered this seat's underlying demographics or voting patterns. Traders price the Democratic Party at 94.5 percent because structural factors such as registration advantages and historical turnout leave limited openings for an upset. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen development before the November 3, 2026, general election, such as a major scandal or significant national political realignment that shifts voter priorities in this urban Charlotte-area district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$34,219종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 12th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, evidenced by its D+24 partisan voting index and repeated double-digit victories for longtime incumbent Alma Adams. Adams secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Jack Codiga emerged from a low-profile contest. Recent redistricting efforts elsewhere in the state have not altered this seat's underlying demographics or voting patterns. Traders price the Democratic Party at 94.5 percent because structural factors such as registration advantages and historical turnout leave limited openings for an upset. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen development before the November 3, 2026, general election, such as a major scandal or significant national political realignment that shifts voter priorities in this urban Charlotte-area district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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