Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, captured by US forces in January 2026 and extradited to New York, faces a multi-count federal indictment from the Southern District including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and firearms offenses; he and co-defendant wife Cilia Flores have pleaded not guilty while detained in Brooklyn. A federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss charges during March 26–30 hearings, citing insufficient grounds despite claims of head-of-state immunity and politically motivated sanctions. Trader consensus implying 77.5% "No" probability stems from the narcoterrorism law's limited trial success—31 of prior cases ended in guilty pleas to lesser charges—protracted pre-trial disputes, and low historical conviction rates on all counts, with trial potentially delayed into 2027 amid evidentiary challenges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$101,438 거래량
$101,438 거래량
2027.12.31
예
$101,438 거래량
$101,438 거래량
2027.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, captured by US forces in January 2026 and extradited to New York, faces a multi-count federal indictment from the Southern District including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and firearms offenses; he and co-defendant wife Cilia Flores have pleaded not guilty while detained in Brooklyn. A federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss charges during March 26–30 hearings, citing insufficient grounds despite claims of head-of-state immunity and politically motivated sanctions. Trader consensus implying 77.5% "No" probability stems from the narcoterrorism law's limited trial success—31 of prior cases ended in guilty pleas to lesser charges—protracted pre-trial disputes, and low historical conviction rates on all counts, with trial potentially delayed into 2027 amid evidentiary challenges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
거래량
$101,438종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, captured by US forces in January 2026 and extradited to New York, faces a multi-count federal indictment from the Southern District including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and firearms offenses; he and co-defendant wife Cilia Flores have pleaded not guilty while detained in Brooklyn. A federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss charges during March 26–30 hearings, citing insufficient grounds despite claims of head-of-state immunity and politically motivated sanctions. Trader consensus implying 77.5% "No" probability stems from the narcoterrorism law's limited trial success—31 of prior cases ended in guilty pleas to lesser charges—protracted pre-trial disputes, and low historical conviction rates on all counts, with trial potentially delayed into 2027 amid evidentiary challenges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$101,438종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, captured by US forces in January 2026 and extradited to New York, faces a multi-count federal indictment from the Southern District including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and firearms offenses; he and co-defendant wife Cilia Flores have pleaded not guilty while detained in Brooklyn. A federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss charges during March 26–30 hearings, citing insufficient grounds despite claims of head-of-state immunity and politically motivated sanctions. Trader consensus implying 77.5% "No" probability stems from the narcoterrorism law's limited trial success—31 of prior cases ended in guilty pleas to lesser charges—protracted pre-trial disputes, and low historical conviction rates on all counts, with trial potentially delayed into 2027 amid evidentiary challenges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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