A US-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, effective April 16, 2026, has paused Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon—limited since mid-March to areas south of the Litani River targeting Hezbollah infrastructure—preventing any advance toward Beirut and signaling de-escalation through direct bilateral talks. Airstrikes have hit Beirut suburbs amid the 2026 Israel-Hezbollah war, but no verified ground incursions into the capital occurred, with Lebanon's army deploying to secure the city against Hezbollah re-entry. Traders monitor truce violations like sporadic rocket exchanges, with expiration around April 26 and US-facilitated negotiations as pivotal events that could either extend the pause or prompt renewed military action.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$139,875 거래량
2026.04.30
4월 30일
2%
$139,875 거래량
4월 30일
$105,254 거래량
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A US-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, effective April 16, 2026, has paused Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon—limited since mid-March to areas south of the Litani River targeting Hezbollah infrastructure—preventing any advance toward Beirut and signaling de-escalation through direct bilateral talks. Airstrikes have hit Beirut suburbs amid the 2026 Israel-Hezbollah war, but no verified ground incursions into the capital occurred, with Lebanon's army deploying to secure the city against Hezbollah re-entry. Traders monitor truce violations like sporadic rocket exchanges, with expiration around April 26 and US-facilitated negotiations as pivotal events that could either extend the pause or prompt renewed military action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ET
거래량
$139,875종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A US-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, effective April 16, 2026, has paused Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon—limited since mid-March to areas south of the Litani River targeting Hezbollah infrastructure—preventing any advance toward Beirut and signaling de-escalation through direct bilateral talks. Airstrikes have hit Beirut suburbs amid the 2026 Israel-Hezbollah war, but no verified ground incursions into the capital occurred, with Lebanon's army deploying to secure the city against Hezbollah re-entry. Traders monitor truce violations like sporadic rocket exchanges, with expiration around April 26 and US-facilitated negotiations as pivotal events that could either extend the pause or prompt renewed military action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$139,875종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A US-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, effective April 16, 2026, has paused Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon—limited since mid-March to areas south of the Litani River targeting Hezbollah infrastructure—preventing any advance toward Beirut and signaling de-escalation through direct bilateral talks. Airstrikes have hit Beirut suburbs amid the 2026 Israel-Hezbollah war, but no verified ground incursions into the capital occurred, with Lebanon's army deploying to secure the city against Hezbollah re-entry. Traders monitor truce violations like sporadic rocket exchanges, with expiration around April 26 and US-facilitated negotiations as pivotal events that could either extend the pause or prompt renewed military action.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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