Illinois's strong Democratic tilt, reinforced by the state's failure to elect a Republican to statewide office in over a decade, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton secured the nomination in the March 17 primary with establishment support from Governor JB Pritzker, prevailing over better-funded challengers in a race for the open seat vacated by retiring Senator Dick Durbin. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democratic candidates routinely prevail by double-digit margins. Traders price in this baseline advantage ahead of the November general election, though a national partisan swing or major late-cycle development could narrow the gap.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$24,938 거래량
$24,938 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
4%
$24,938 거래량
$24,938 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$12,804 거래량
94%
공화당
$12,133 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's strong Democratic tilt, reinforced by the state's failure to elect a Republican to statewide office in over a decade, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton secured the nomination in the March 17 primary with establishment support from Governor JB Pritzker, prevailing over better-funded challengers in a race for the open seat vacated by retiring Senator Dick Durbin. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democratic candidates routinely prevail by double-digit margins. Traders price in this baseline advantage ahead of the November general election, though a national partisan swing or major late-cycle development could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
거래량
$24,938종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's strong Democratic tilt, reinforced by the state's failure to elect a Republican to statewide office in over a decade, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton secured the nomination in the March 17 primary with establishment support from Governor JB Pritzker, prevailing over better-funded challengers in a race for the open seat vacated by retiring Senator Dick Durbin. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democratic candidates routinely prevail by double-digit margins. Traders price in this baseline advantage ahead of the November general election, though a national partisan swing or major late-cycle development could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$24,938종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's strong Democratic tilt, reinforced by the state's failure to elect a Republican to statewide office in over a decade, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton secured the nomination in the March 17 primary with establishment support from Governor JB Pritzker, prevailing over better-funded challengers in a race for the open seat vacated by retiring Senator Dick Durbin. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democratic candidates routinely prevail by double-digit margins. Traders price in this baseline advantage ahead of the November general election, though a national partisan swing or major late-cycle development could narrow the gap.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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