Republican incumbent Darin LaHood secured his party's nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary for Illinois's 16th congressional district, underscoring limited intra-party competition. The seat carries a solid Republican lean according to established partisan voting indexes, consistent with its history of favoring conservative candidates in midterm cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with this structural advantage, where the incumbent's established profile and the district's voting patterns create high barriers for Democratic challenger Paul Nolley. No major shifts in polling or endorsements have altered this positioning in recent weeks, leaving the November 2026 general election outcome as the key resolution trigger.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$12,709 거래량
$12,709 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
10%
$12,709 거래량
$12,709 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$3,841 거래량
88%
Democratic Party
$8,868 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Darin LaHood secured his party's nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary for Illinois's 16th congressional district, underscoring limited intra-party competition. The seat carries a solid Republican lean according to established partisan voting indexes, consistent with its history of favoring conservative candidates in midterm cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with this structural advantage, where the incumbent's established profile and the district's voting patterns create high barriers for Democratic challenger Paul Nolley. No major shifts in polling or endorsements have altered this positioning in recent weeks, leaving the November 2026 general election outcome as the key resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$12,709종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Darin LaHood secured his party's nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary for Illinois's 16th congressional district, underscoring limited intra-party competition. The seat carries a solid Republican lean according to established partisan voting indexes, consistent with its history of favoring conservative candidates in midterm cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with this structural advantage, where the incumbent's established profile and the district's voting patterns create high barriers for Democratic challenger Paul Nolley. No major shifts in polling or endorsements have altered this positioning in recent weeks, leaving the November 2026 general election outcome as the key resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$12,709종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Darin LaHood secured his party's nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary for Illinois's 16th congressional district, underscoring limited intra-party competition. The seat carries a solid Republican lean according to established partisan voting indexes, consistent with its history of favoring conservative candidates in midterm cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with this structural advantage, where the incumbent's established profile and the district's voting patterns create high barriers for Democratic challenger Paul Nolley. No major shifts in polling or endorsements have altered this positioning in recent weeks, leaving the November 2026 general election outcome as the key resolution trigger.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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