Illinois' 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent historical results, with the open seat following longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement drawing a crowded Democratic primary that resolved in March 2026 with Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss securing the nomination over multiple challengers. Republican nominee John Elleson advanced from a smaller primary field, but the district's voter composition and past election margins limit crossover potential in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the outcome. A shift would require unusual developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or major realignment in local voting patterns ahead of the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$20,218 거래량
$20,218 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$20,218 거래량
$20,218 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$13,719 거래량
94%
공화당
$6,499 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois' 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent historical results, with the open seat following longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement drawing a crowded Democratic primary that resolved in March 2026 with Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss securing the nomination over multiple challengers. Republican nominee John Elleson advanced from a smaller primary field, but the district's voter composition and past election margins limit crossover potential in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the outcome. A shift would require unusual developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or major realignment in local voting patterns ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$20,218종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois' 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent historical results, with the open seat following longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement drawing a crowded Democratic primary that resolved in March 2026 with Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss securing the nomination over multiple challengers. Republican nominee John Elleson advanced from a smaller primary field, but the district's voter composition and past election margins limit crossover potential in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the outcome. A shift would require unusual developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or major realignment in local voting patterns ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$20,218종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois' 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent historical results, with the open seat following longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement drawing a crowded Democratic primary that resolved in March 2026 with Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss securing the nomination over multiple challengers. Republican nominee John Elleson advanced from a smaller primary field, but the district's voter composition and past election margins limit crossover potential in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the outcome. A shift would require unusual developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or major realignment in local voting patterns ahead of the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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