Illinois's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent results in recent cycles, which underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The March 2026 primary produced a clear winner in Daniel Biss, who secured the nomination against multiple challengers and now faces Republican John Elleson in the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district's historical performance and the absence of any significant Republican momentum or candidate strength since the primary. While a late national political shift, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually high turnout differential could narrow the margin, such factors have not materialized in polling or ratings and would need to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage to alter the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$16,591 거래량
$16,591 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$16,591 거래량
$16,591 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$10,092 거래량
94%
공화당
$6,499 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent results in recent cycles, which underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The March 2026 primary produced a clear winner in Daniel Biss, who secured the nomination against multiple challengers and now faces Republican John Elleson in the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district's historical performance and the absence of any significant Republican momentum or candidate strength since the primary. While a late national political shift, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually high turnout differential could narrow the margin, such factors have not materialized in polling or ratings and would need to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$16,591종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent results in recent cycles, which underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The March 2026 primary produced a clear winner in Daniel Biss, who secured the nomination against multiple challengers and now faces Republican John Elleson in the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district's historical performance and the absence of any significant Republican momentum or candidate strength since the primary. While a late national political shift, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually high turnout differential could narrow the margin, such factors have not materialized in polling or ratings and would need to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$16,591종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent results in recent cycles, which underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The March 2026 primary produced a clear winner in Daniel Biss, who secured the nomination against multiple challengers and now faces Republican John Elleson in the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district's historical performance and the absence of any significant Republican momentum or candidate strength since the primary. While a late national political shift, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually high turnout differential could narrow the margin, such factors have not materialized in polling or ratings and would need to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage to alter the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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