The Illinois 9th Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement opened the seat, but the March 17 Democratic primary resolved in favor of Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss, consolidating party support in a district where Republicans have not mounted a serious challenge in decades. Limited Republican primary activity and the absence of major polling shifts or external disruptions reinforce the wide margin. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain narrow in scope, such as an unforeseen national Republican surge or a significant issue affecting the Democratic nominee.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$20,178 거래량
$20,178 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$20,178 거래량
$20,178 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$13,679 거래량
94%
공화당
$6,499 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 9th Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement opened the seat, but the March 17 Democratic primary resolved in favor of Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss, consolidating party support in a district where Republicans have not mounted a serious challenge in decades. Limited Republican primary activity and the absence of major polling shifts or external disruptions reinforce the wide margin. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain narrow in scope, such as an unforeseen national Republican surge or a significant issue affecting the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$20,178종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 9th Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement opened the seat, but the March 17 Democratic primary resolved in favor of Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss, consolidating party support in a district where Republicans have not mounted a serious challenge in decades. Limited Republican primary activity and the absence of major polling shifts or external disruptions reinforce the wide margin. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain narrow in scope, such as an unforeseen national Republican surge or a significant issue affecting the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$20,178종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 9th Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement opened the seat, but the March 17 Democratic primary resolved in favor of Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss, consolidating party support in a district where Republicans have not mounted a serious challenge in decades. Limited Republican primary activity and the absence of major polling shifts or external disruptions reinforce the wide margin. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain narrow in scope, such as an unforeseen national Republican surge or a significant issue affecting the Democratic nominee.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문