6 30.9%
7 18.8%
5 17.8%
4 10.0%
$210,376 Vol.
$210,376 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026

3
$49,817 Vol.
2%

4
$4,291 Vol.
10%

5
$5,679 Vol.
18%

6
$1,860 Vol.
31%

7
$3,019 Vol.
19%

8
$3,523 Vol.
9%

9
$5,346 Vol.
6%

10
$8,600 Vol.
6%

11
$6,164 Vol.
3%

12
$5,238 Vol.
2%

13
$2,984 Vol.
2%

14
$3,257 Vol.
1%

15+
$9,619 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
생성일: Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET
볼륨
$210,376종료일
Dec 31, 2026생성일
Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...6 30.9%
7 18.8%
5 17.8%
4 10.0%
$210,376 Vol.
$210,376 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026

3
$49,817 Vol.
2%

4
$4,291 Vol.
10%

5
$5,679 Vol.
18%

6
$1,860 Vol.
31%

7
$3,019 Vol.
19%

8
$3,523 Vol.
9%

9
$5,346 Vol.
6%

10
$8,600 Vol.
6%

11
$6,164 Vol.
3%

12
$5,238 Vol.
2%

13
$2,984 Vol.
2%

14
$3,257 Vol.
1%

15+
$9,619 Vol.
1%
외부 링크를 조심하십시오.
외부 링크를 조심하십시오.
Frequently Asked Questions
"2026년에 미국은 몇 개국을 공격할 것인가?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "6" at 31%, followed by "7" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "2026년에 미국은 몇 개국을 공격할 것인가?" has generated $210.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "2026년에 미국은 몇 개국을 공격할 것인가?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "2026년에 미국은 몇 개국을 공격할 것인가?" is "6" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "7" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "2026년에 미국은 몇 개국을 공격할 것인가?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

외부 링크를 조심하십시오.
외부 링크를 조심하십시오.
Frequently Asked Questions