Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin dominates the CA-15 House race in a solidly Democratic district rated Solid D by Cook Political Report (PVI D+26), with 55% Democratic voter registration fueling trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic Party win. Mullin's strong fundraising ($679,000 raised through March) dwarfs challengers like Republicans Charles Hoelter and Democrats Anthony Dang and Mantosh Kumar ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. He cruised to 73% victory in the 2024 general election amid Kamala Harris's 72% district showing. While late scandals, health issues for Mullin, or a massive national GOP wave could challenge this, the district's blue lean and historical dominance render Republican odds slim.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$114,274 거래량
$114,274 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
3%
$114,274 거래량
$114,274 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$92,550 거래량
95%
공화당
$21,724 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin dominates the CA-15 House race in a solidly Democratic district rated Solid D by Cook Political Report (PVI D+26), with 55% Democratic voter registration fueling trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic Party win. Mullin's strong fundraising ($679,000 raised through March) dwarfs challengers like Republicans Charles Hoelter and Democrats Anthony Dang and Mantosh Kumar ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. He cruised to 73% victory in the 2024 general election amid Kamala Harris's 72% district showing. While late scandals, health issues for Mullin, or a massive national GOP wave could challenge this, the district's blue lean and historical dominance render Republican odds slim.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
거래량
$114,274종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin dominates the CA-15 House race in a solidly Democratic district rated Solid D by Cook Political Report (PVI D+26), with 55% Democratic voter registration fueling trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic Party win. Mullin's strong fundraising ($679,000 raised through March) dwarfs challengers like Republicans Charles Hoelter and Democrats Anthony Dang and Mantosh Kumar ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. He cruised to 73% victory in the 2024 general election amid Kamala Harris's 72% district showing. While late scandals, health issues for Mullin, or a massive national GOP wave could challenge this, the district's blue lean and historical dominance render Republican odds slim.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$114,274종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin dominates the CA-15 House race in a solidly Democratic district rated Solid D by Cook Political Report (PVI D+26), with 55% Democratic voter registration fueling trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic Party win. Mullin's strong fundraising ($679,000 raised through March) dwarfs challengers like Republicans Charles Hoelter and Democrats Anthony Dang and Mantosh Kumar ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. He cruised to 73% victory in the 2024 general election amid Kamala Harris's 72% district showing. While late scandals, health issues for Mullin, or a massive national GOP wave could challenge this, the district's blue lean and historical dominance render Republican odds slim.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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