The Republican nominee enters the November 2026 general election for Arizona’s 8th Congressional District with a clear edge, driven by the seat’s R+8 partisan voter index and the presence of first-term incumbent Abraham Hamadeh. Cook Political Report and Inside Elections both rate the race Solid Republican, consistent with the district’s suburban west-of-Phoenix footprint that has favored GOP candidates by double digits in recent cycles. With the July 21 primary still ahead, Democratic contenders including Bernadette Greene-Placentia and Raymond Keeler face structural headwinds in a district where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats by roughly 85,000. No major polling shifts or campaign events have altered the outlook in the past month, leaving the implied probability aligned with historical midterm performance in comparable Republican-leaning House seats.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
18%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$1,328 거래량
79%
Democratic Party
$2,088 거래량
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee enters the November 2026 general election for Arizona’s 8th Congressional District with a clear edge, driven by the seat’s R+8 partisan voter index and the presence of first-term incumbent Abraham Hamadeh. Cook Political Report and Inside Elections both rate the race Solid Republican, consistent with the district’s suburban west-of-Phoenix footprint that has favored GOP candidates by double digits in recent cycles. With the July 21 primary still ahead, Democratic contenders including Bernadette Greene-Placentia and Raymond Keeler face structural headwinds in a district where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats by roughly 85,000. No major polling shifts or campaign events have altered the outlook in the past month, leaving the implied probability aligned with historical midterm performance in comparable Republican-leaning House seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$3,369종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee enters the November 2026 general election for Arizona’s 8th Congressional District with a clear edge, driven by the seat’s R+8 partisan voter index and the presence of first-term incumbent Abraham Hamadeh. Cook Political Report and Inside Elections both rate the race Solid Republican, consistent with the district’s suburban west-of-Phoenix footprint that has favored GOP candidates by double digits in recent cycles. With the July 21 primary still ahead, Democratic contenders including Bernadette Greene-Placentia and Raymond Keeler face structural headwinds in a district where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats by roughly 85,000. No major polling shifts or campaign events have altered the outlook in the past month, leaving the implied probability aligned with historical midterm performance in comparable Republican-leaning House seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,369종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee enters the November 2026 general election for Arizona’s 8th Congressional District with a clear edge, driven by the seat’s R+8 partisan voter index and the presence of first-term incumbent Abraham Hamadeh. Cook Political Report and Inside Elections both rate the race Solid Republican, consistent with the district’s suburban west-of-Phoenix footprint that has favored GOP candidates by double digits in recent cycles. With the July 21 primary still ahead, Democratic contenders including Bernadette Greene-Placentia and Raymond Keeler face structural headwinds in a district where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats by roughly 85,000. No major polling shifts or campaign events have altered the outlook in the past month, leaving the implied probability aligned with historical midterm performance in comparable Republican-leaning House seats.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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