Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82.5% implied probability against another U.S. sovereign credit rating downgrade before 2027, reflecting stable outlooks from S&P (AA+), Fitch (AA+), and Moody's (Aa1) following Moody's May 2025 action that aligned all three agencies below AAA amid unchecked fiscal deficits. Recent Fitch analysis on April 30, 2026, flagged widening deficits near 7.9% of GDP through 2028 and debt-to-GDP climbing to 122% by end-2027—far above AA peers—but stopped short of action, citing resilient U.S. growth and dollar reserve status as offsets. Key swing factors include looming debt ceiling deadlines and midterm fiscal policy shifts, with no acute brinkmanship evident in recent Treasury auctions or borrowing costs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2027년 이전의 또 다른 미국 부채 하향 조정?
2027년 이전의 또 다른 미국 부채 하향 조정?
$10,086 거래량
$10,086 거래량
2026.12.31
$10,086 거래량
$10,086 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82.5% implied probability against another U.S. sovereign credit rating downgrade before 2027, reflecting stable outlooks from S&P (AA+), Fitch (AA+), and Moody's (Aa1) following Moody's May 2025 action that aligned all three agencies below AAA amid unchecked fiscal deficits. Recent Fitch analysis on April 30, 2026, flagged widening deficits near 7.9% of GDP through 2028 and debt-to-GDP climbing to 122% by end-2027—far above AA peers—but stopped short of action, citing resilient U.S. growth and dollar reserve status as offsets. Key swing factors include looming debt ceiling deadlines and midterm fiscal policy shifts, with no acute brinkmanship evident in recent Treasury auctions or borrowing costs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
거래량
$10,086종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82.5% implied probability against another U.S. sovereign credit rating downgrade before 2027, reflecting stable outlooks from S&P (AA+), Fitch (AA+), and Moody's (Aa1) following Moody's May 2025 action that aligned all three agencies below AAA amid unchecked fiscal deficits. Recent Fitch analysis on April 30, 2026, flagged widening deficits near 7.9% of GDP through 2028 and debt-to-GDP climbing to 122% by end-2027—far above AA peers—but stopped short of action, citing resilient U.S. growth and dollar reserve status as offsets. Key swing factors include looming debt ceiling deadlines and midterm fiscal policy shifts, with no acute brinkmanship evident in recent Treasury auctions or borrowing costs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$10,086종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82.5% implied probability against another U.S. sovereign credit rating downgrade before 2027, reflecting stable outlooks from S&P (AA+), Fitch (AA+), and Moody's (Aa1) following Moody's May 2025 action that aligned all three agencies below AAA amid unchecked fiscal deficits. Recent Fitch analysis on April 30, 2026, flagged widening deficits near 7.9% of GDP through 2028 and debt-to-GDP climbing to 122% by end-2027—far above AA peers—but stopped short of action, citing resilient U.S. growth and dollar reserve status as offsets. Key swing factors include looming debt ceiling deadlines and midterm fiscal policy shifts, with no acute brinkmanship evident in recent Treasury auctions or borrowing costs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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