Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal Party swept three federal by-elections on April 13, 2026, in Terrebonne, University—Rosedale, and Scarborough Southwest, elevating their seat count from 169 to a House of Commons majority and stabilizing the government just one year after the April 2025 general election. This outcome reflects trader consensus on enhanced parliamentary security, negating pressures for a snap election amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions and domestic priorities. With fixed-date elections set for 2029 under the Canada Elections Act, dissolution remains unlikely absent a major scandal, no-confidence vote, or strategic leadership decision—scenarios traders price at low risk through June 30.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$78,392 거래량
$78,392 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$78,392 거래량
$78,392 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal Party swept three federal by-elections on April 13, 2026, in Terrebonne, University—Rosedale, and Scarborough Southwest, elevating their seat count from 169 to a House of Commons majority and stabilizing the government just one year after the April 2025 general election. This outcome reflects trader consensus on enhanced parliamentary security, negating pressures for a snap election amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions and domestic priorities. With fixed-date elections set for 2029 under the Canada Elections Act, dissolution remains unlikely absent a major scandal, no-confidence vote, or strategic leadership decision—scenarios traders price at low risk through June 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ET
거래량
$78,392종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal Party swept three federal by-elections on April 13, 2026, in Terrebonne, University—Rosedale, and Scarborough Southwest, elevating their seat count from 169 to a House of Commons majority and stabilizing the government just one year after the April 2025 general election. This outcome reflects trader consensus on enhanced parliamentary security, negating pressures for a snap election amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions and domestic priorities. With fixed-date elections set for 2029 under the Canada Elections Act, dissolution remains unlikely absent a major scandal, no-confidence vote, or strategic leadership decision—scenarios traders price at low risk through June 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$78,392종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal Party swept three federal by-elections on April 13, 2026, in Terrebonne, University—Rosedale, and Scarborough Southwest, elevating their seat count from 169 to a House of Commons majority and stabilizing the government just one year after the April 2025 general election. This outcome reflects trader consensus on enhanced parliamentary security, negating pressures for a snap election amid ongoing U.S. trade tensions and domestic priorities. With fixed-date elections set for 2029 under the Canada Elections Act, dissolution remains unlikely absent a major scandal, no-confidence vote, or strategic leadership decision—scenarios traders price at low risk through June 30.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문