Biden senile during the debate?

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Biden senile during the debate?

Yes

$551k Vol.

$0 Liq.

89

South Carolina Republican Primary Winner

Donald Trump

Politics

South Carolina Republican Primary Winner

Donald Trump

$2m Vol.

$0 Liq.

2

Next GOP presidential drop out?

Donald Trump

Politics

Next GOP presidential drop out?

Ron DeSantis

$125k Vol.

$0 Liq.

1

Who will win the 2024 Republican Iowa Caucus?

Donald Trump

Politics

Who will win the 2024 Republican Iowa Caucus?

Nikki Haley

$1m Vol.

$0 Liq.

4

Will Trump mention $MAGA before July?

Donald Trump

Crypto

Will Trump mention $MAGA before July?

No

$13.8k Vol.

Trump’s first TikTok >115M views by Sunday?

Donald Trump

Politics

Trump’s first TikTok >115M views by Sunday?

Yes

$1.9k Vol.

4

Will Trump talk about crypto by next Friday?

Donald Trump

Politics

Will Trump talk about crypto by next Friday?

Yes

$26.9k Vol.

9

Supreme Court unanimous vote in Trump immunity case?

Donald Trump

Trump

Supreme Court unanimous vote in Trump immunity case?

No

$18.7k Vol.

2

Trump on ballot in every state?

Donald Trump

Politics

Trump on ballot in every state?

Yes

$42.3k Vol.

1

Will Trump resign today?

Donald Trump

Politics

Will Trump resign today?

No

$10m Vol.

174

Will Trump make bond by March 25?

Donald Trump

Trump

Will Trump make bond by March 25?

No

$27.9k Vol.

-1

Supreme Court votes in favor of Trump absolute immunity?

Donald Trump

Trump

Supreme Court votes in favor of Trump absolute immunity?

No

$72.3k Vol.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Donald Trump

Politics

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Yes

$77m Vol.

3,857

Trump eligible to vote in the election?

Donald Trump

Politics

Trump eligible to vote in the election?

Yes

$30.5k Vol.

1

Trump violates gag order by May 31?

Donald Trump

Trump

Trump violates gag order by May 31?

Yes

$3.1k Vol.

Trump violates gag order by next Friday?

Donald Trump

Politics

Trump violates gag order by next Friday?

No

$25.7k Vol.

8

Trump convicted of felony before Election?

Donald Trump

Trump

Trump convicted of felony before Election?

Yes

$146k Vol.

29

Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?

Donald Trump

Politics

Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?

No

$1m Vol.

12

Trump violates gag order?

Donald Trump

Trump

Trump violates gag order?

Yes

$37.7k Vol.

Will Trump remove all 9 posts by 2:15 PM deadline?

Donald Trump

Trump

Will Trump remove all 9 posts by 2:15 PM deadline?

Yes

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Donald Trump.

Polymarket currently hosts 66 active markets for Donald Trump that lets you track or trade on predictions like "Biden senile during the debate?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $91.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "Will Trump resign today?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "South Carolina Republican Primary Winner," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "Will Trump launch a coin before the election?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Yes. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Donald Trump predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.