Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in the implied probability of USD/CAD hitting key levels in 2026, reflecting a widened US-Canada interest rate differential after both the Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada held rates steady at 3.50%-3.75% and 2.25%, respectively, on March 18 announcements. Elevated oil prices near $100 per barrel for WTI—driven by Middle East tensions—provide counter-support for the commodity-tied Canadian dollar, capping USD/CAD advances around the 1.39 handle as of late March. Divergent inflation trajectories and US economic resilience versus Canada's softer growth underpin USD strength, with traders eyeing BoC's April 29 policy update, upcoming US nonfarm payrolls, and CPI data as pivotal catalysts that could shift the market-implied rate path.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日↑1.70
10%
↑1.60
11%
↑1.55
13%
↑1.50
43%
↑1.45
50%
↑1.42
62%
↑1.39
90%
↓1.33
50%
↓1.30
43%
↓1.25
42%
↓1.20
38%
↓1.10
27%
$7,093 Vol.
↑1.70
10%
↑1.60
11%
↑1.55
13%
↑1.50
43%
↑1.45
50%
↑1.42
62%
↑1.39
90%
↓1.33
50%
↓1.30
43%
↓1.25
42%
↓1.20
38%
↓1.10
27%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
マーケット開始日: Feb 6, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in the implied probability of USD/CAD hitting key levels in 2026, reflecting a widened US-Canada interest rate differential after both the Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada held rates steady at 3.50%-3.75% and 2.25%, respectively, on March 18 announcements. Elevated oil prices near $100 per barrel for WTI—driven by Middle East tensions—provide counter-support for the commodity-tied Canadian dollar, capping USD/CAD advances around the 1.39 handle as of late March. Divergent inflation trajectories and US economic resilience versus Canada's softer growth underpin USD strength, with traders eyeing BoC's April 29 policy update, upcoming US nonfarm payrolls, and CPI data as pivotal catalysts that could shift the market-implied rate path.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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