Diverging monetary policies between the ECB and Federal Reserve remain the dominant driver of EUR/USD dynamics in 2026. The ECB has held its deposit facility rate at 2.00% since mid-2025, with April 2026 data showing euro-area inflation expectations revised higher to 2.6% for the year, supporting a steady policy stance. In contrast, the Fed funds rate sits at 3.50–3.75% after prior cuts, with futures pricing one to two additional 25-basis-point reductions by year-end. This narrowing rate differential, currently around 150–162 basis points, underpins euro support and recent trading near 1.16–1.17. Key upcoming catalysts include the ECB’s June meeting, U.S. inflation releases, and labor data that could shift rate expectations and influence the pair’s path toward consensus forecasts of 1.20–1.23 by December.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$75,191 Vol.
↑ 1.40
7%
↑ 1.35
9%
↑ 1.30
19%
↑ 1.26
23%
↑ 1.24
50%
↑ 1.22
49%
↑ 1.20
73%
↓ 1.14
65%
↓ 1.12
40%
↓ 1.10
24%
↓ 1.05
9%
↓ 1.00
8%
$75,191 Vol.
↑ 1.40
7%
↑ 1.35
9%
↑ 1.30
19%
↑ 1.26
23%
↑ 1.24
50%
↑ 1.22
49%
↑ 1.20
73%
↓ 1.14
65%
↓ 1.12
40%
↓ 1.10
24%
↓ 1.05
9%
↓ 1.00
8%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
マーケット開始日: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Diverging monetary policies between the ECB and Federal Reserve remain the dominant driver of EUR/USD dynamics in 2026. The ECB has held its deposit facility rate at 2.00% since mid-2025, with April 2026 data showing euro-area inflation expectations revised higher to 2.6% for the year, supporting a steady policy stance. In contrast, the Fed funds rate sits at 3.50–3.75% after prior cuts, with futures pricing one to two additional 25-basis-point reductions by year-end. This narrowing rate differential, currently around 150–162 basis points, underpins euro support and recent trading near 1.16–1.17. Key upcoming catalysts include the ECB’s June meeting, U.S. inflation releases, and labor data that could shift rate expectations and influence the pair’s path toward consensus forecasts of 1.20–1.23 by December.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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