Trader consensus gives Avengers: Doomsday a commanding 92.2% implied probability of topping Dune: Part Three's opening weekend gross on their shared December 18, 2026 release, driven by Marvel's Avengers historical dominance—Infinity War ($257M domestic) and Endgame ($357M) dwarfing Dune: Part Two's $82M debut—bolstered by Robert Downey Jr.'s star power as Doctor Doom and the MCU ensemble draw. Recent trailers for both films dropped mid-March, earning praise for Dune's epic scale while Doomsday leverages franchise momentum, though Dune secures a three-week IMAX exclusive, pushing Marvel to premium formats like Dolby Cinema. Upsets remain possible via Dune's large-format edge and sustained buzz amid potential superhero fatigue, with tracking and presales key catalysts ahead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日デューン3またはアベンジャーズ：ドゥームズデイは初週末にさらにグロスになりますか？
デューン3またはアベンジャーズ：ドゥームズデイは初週末にさらにグロスになりますか？
デューン3
$33,441 Vol.
$33,441 Vol.
Dec 20, 2026
デューン3
$33,441 Vol.
$33,441 Vol.
Dec 20, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.Trader consensus gives Avengers: Doomsday a commanding 92.2% implied probability of topping Dune: Part Three's opening weekend gross on their shared December 18, 2026 release, driven by Marvel's Avengers historical dominance—Infinity War ($257M domestic) and Endgame ($357M) dwarfing Dune: Part Two's $82M debut—bolstered by Robert Downey Jr.'s star power as Doctor Doom and the MCU ensemble draw. Recent trailers for both films dropped mid-March, earning praise for Dune's epic scale while Doomsday leverages franchise momentum, though Dune secures a three-week IMAX exclusive, pushing Marvel to premium formats like Dolby Cinema. Upsets remain possible via Dune's large-format edge and sustained buzz amid potential superhero fatigue, with tracking and presales key catalysts ahead.
Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
マーケット開始日： Jan 5, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
音量
$33,441終了日
Dec 20, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.Trader consensus gives Avengers: Doomsday a commanding 92.2% implied probability of topping Dune: Part Three's opening weekend gross on their shared December 18, 2026 release, driven by Marvel's Avengers historical dominance—Infinity War ($257M domestic) and Endgame ($357M) dwarfing Dune: Part Two's $82M debut—bolstered by Robert Downey Jr.'s star power as Doctor Doom and the MCU ensemble draw. Recent trailers for both films dropped mid-March, earning praise for Dune's epic scale while Doomsday leverages franchise momentum, though Dune secures a three-week IMAX exclusive, pushing Marvel to premium formats like Dolby Cinema. Upsets remain possible via Dune's large-format edge and sustained buzz amid potential superhero fatigue, with tracking and presales key catalysts ahead.
Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized.
If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
音量
$33,441終了日
Dec 20, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus gives Avengers: Doomsday a commanding 92.2% implied probability of topping Dune: Part Three's opening weekend gross on their shared December 18, 2026 release, driven by Marvel's Avengers historical dominance—Infinity War ($257M domestic) and Endgame ($357M) dwarfing Dune: Part Two's $82M debut—bolstered by Robert Downey Jr.'s star power as Doctor Doom and the MCU ensemble draw. Recent trailers for both films dropped mid-March, earning praise for Dune's epic scale while Doomsday leverages franchise momentum, though Dune secures a three-week IMAX exclusive, pushing Marvel to premium formats like Dolby Cinema. Upsets remain possible via Dune's large-format edge and sustained buzz amid potential superhero fatigue, with tracking and presales key catalysts ahead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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