Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 56.5% implied probability for Yes, driven by Clavicular's recent form of heightened emotional vulnerability during IRL streams on Kick, including multiple near-breakdowns in March over interpersonal drama, perceived exploitation by his circle, and girlfriend Violet's contrasting loyalty. Mounting off-stream pressures—a March 27 arrest on a battery warrant and Violet's March 31 surrender facing up to 15 years in prison—have intensified scrutiny, with clips showing him struggling to hold back tears amid relational turmoil and isolation. This streak of fragile moments, against a backdrop of viral looksmaxxing content and chaotic house dynamics, positions traders to expect another visible on-stream release before May 1, though his resilience keeps the market closely contested.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2026年5月1日までに鎖骨の泣き声が流れます
2026年5月1日までに鎖骨の泣き声が流れます
$17,286 Vol.
$17,286 Vol.
2026/05/01
$17,286 Vol.
$17,286 Vol.
2026/05/01
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 56.5% implied probability for Yes, driven by Clavicular's recent form of heightened emotional vulnerability during IRL streams on Kick, including multiple near-breakdowns in March over interpersonal drama, perceived exploitation by his circle, and girlfriend Violet's contrasting loyalty. Mounting off-stream pressures—a March 27 arrest on a battery warrant and Violet's March 31 surrender facing up to 15 years in prison—have intensified scrutiny, with clips showing him struggling to hold back tears amid relational turmoil and isolation. This streak of fragile moments, against a backdrop of viral looksmaxxing content and chaotic house dynamics, positions traders to expect another visible on-stream release before May 1, though his resilience keeps the market closely contested.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 10, 2026, 7:19 PM ET
音量
$17,286終了日
2026/05/01マーケット開始日
Mar 10, 2026, 7:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 56.5% implied probability for Yes, driven by Clavicular's recent form of heightened emotional vulnerability during IRL streams on Kick, including multiple near-breakdowns in March over interpersonal drama, perceived exploitation by his circle, and girlfriend Violet's contrasting loyalty. Mounting off-stream pressures—a March 27 arrest on a battery warrant and Violet's March 31 surrender facing up to 15 years in prison—have intensified scrutiny, with clips showing him struggling to hold back tears amid relational turmoil and isolation. This streak of fragile moments, against a backdrop of viral looksmaxxing content and chaotic house dynamics, positions traders to expect another visible on-stream release before May 1, though his resilience keeps the market closely contested.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
音量
$17,286終了日
2026/05/01マーケット開始日
Mar 10, 2026, 7:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 56.5% implied probability for Yes, driven by Clavicular's recent form of heightened emotional vulnerability during IRL streams on Kick, including multiple near-breakdowns in March over interpersonal drama, perceived exploitation by his circle, and girlfriend Violet's contrasting loyalty. Mounting off-stream pressures—a March 27 arrest on a battery warrant and Violet's March 31 surrender facing up to 15 years in prison—have intensified scrutiny, with clips showing him struggling to hold back tears amid relational turmoil and isolation. This streak of fragile moments, against a backdrop of viral looksmaxxing content and chaotic house dynamics, positions traders to expect another visible on-stream release before May 1, though his resilience keeps the market closely contested.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問