Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% certainty that internet looksmaxxing influencer Clavicular will not become Iran's Supreme Leader by March 31, driven by the official state media announcement on March 8 naming Mojtaba Khamenei—son of the assassinated Ayatollah Ali Khamenei—as the confirmed successor after his father's February 28 killing in U.S.-Israeli strikes. This rapid, cleric-led transition by the Assembly of Experts and Revolutionary Guards, amid ongoing regional tensions, sidelined all outsider speculation, including viral social media memes tying Clavicular's absurd candidacy to Khamenei's rumored private viewing habits. No credible reports or political momentum emerged for the U.S.-based content creator, whose buzz peaked mid-March but faded without institutional backing. With the deadline passed and Mojtaba's position solidified via public appearances, realistic upsets are nonexistent barring an unprecedented coup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日鎖骨は3月31日までにイランの次期最高指導者になるか？
鎖骨は3月31日までにイランの次期最高指導者になるか？
はい
$1,138,669 Vol.
$1,138,669 Vol.
2026/03/31
はい
$1,138,669 Vol.
$1,138,669 Vol.
2026/03/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular is officially named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran (or a clear direct replacement title for the role) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Mojtaba Khamenei.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% certainty that internet looksmaxxing influencer Clavicular will not become Iran's Supreme Leader by March 31, driven by the official state media announcement on March 8 naming Mojtaba Khamenei—son of the assassinated Ayatollah Ali Khamenei—as the confirmed successor after his father's February 28 killing in U.S.-Israeli strikes. This rapid, cleric-led transition by the Assembly of Experts and Revolutionary Guards, amid ongoing regional tensions, sidelined all outsider speculation, including viral social media memes tying Clavicular's absurd candidacy to Khamenei's rumored private viewing habits. No credible reports or political momentum emerged for the U.S.-based content creator, whose buzz peaked mid-March but faded without institutional backing. With the deadline passed and Mojtaba's position solidified via public appearances, realistic upsets are nonexistent barring an unprecedented coup.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular is officially named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran (or a clear direct replacement title for the role) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Mojtaba Khamenei.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Mojtaba Khamenei.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 10, 2026, 8:10 PM ET
音量
$1,138,669終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Mar 10, 2026, 8:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular is officially named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran (or a clear direct replacement title for the role) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Mojtaba Khamenei.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% certainty that internet looksmaxxing influencer Clavicular will not become Iran's Supreme Leader by March 31, driven by the official state media announcement on March 8 naming Mojtaba Khamenei—son of the assassinated Ayatollah Ali Khamenei—as the confirmed successor after his father's February 28 killing in U.S.-Israeli strikes. This rapid, cleric-led transition by the Assembly of Experts and Revolutionary Guards, amid ongoing regional tensions, sidelined all outsider speculation, including viral social media memes tying Clavicular's absurd candidacy to Khamenei's rumored private viewing habits. No credible reports or political momentum emerged for the U.S.-based content creator, whose buzz peaked mid-March but faded without institutional backing. With the deadline passed and Mojtaba's position solidified via public appearances, realistic upsets are nonexistent barring an unprecedented coup.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular is officially named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran (or a clear direct replacement title for the role) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Mojtaba Khamenei.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Mojtaba Khamenei.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,138,669終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Mar 10, 2026, 8:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% certainty that internet looksmaxxing influencer Clavicular will not become Iran's Supreme Leader by March 31, driven by the official state media announcement on March 8 naming Mojtaba Khamenei—son of the assassinated Ayatollah Ali Khamenei—as the confirmed successor after his father's February 28 killing in U.S.-Israeli strikes. This rapid, cleric-led transition by the Assembly of Experts and Revolutionary Guards, amid ongoing regional tensions, sidelined all outsider speculation, including viral social media memes tying Clavicular's absurd candidacy to Khamenei's rumored private viewing habits. No credible reports or political momentum emerged for the U.S.-based content creator, whose buzz peaked mid-March but faded without institutional backing. With the deadline passed and Mojtaba's position solidified via public appearances, realistic upsets are nonexistent barring an unprecedented coup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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