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Will BLS stop reporting payroll data this year?

Market icon

Will BLS stop reporting payroll data this year?

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$60,086 Vol.

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$60,086 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ceases regular publication of any of the following reports: monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate), Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), Employment Cost Index, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." For purposes of this market, “ceases regular publication” means any of the following: - The BLS officially announces it will no longer publish the report on its regular schedule. - The BLS misses three consecutive scheduled releases of the report without providing the data within 30 days of each scheduled release date. - The BLS announces that the report is discontinued, terminated, or permanently suspended. - Legislative or executive action explicitly prohibits or defunds the publication of the report. The following do NOT qualify as cessation: - Temporary delays or postponements followed by subsequent publication (including delays caused by government shutdowns). - Changes in methodology, seasonal adjustment, or calculation methods while continuing publication. - Changes in publication frequency (e.g., monthly to quarterly) while maintaining regular releases. - Format changes (e.g., digital-only, layout changes). - Publishing preliminary or partial data with full data forthcoming. - Changes to specific components within a report while the overall data series continues. - Combining the report with other reports while still publishing the underlying data. - BLS delays the jobs report due to a shutdown, then publishes it. - BLS changes CPI methodology but continues publishing monthly CPI. - BLS shifts employment data from monthly to quarterly. - The Federal Reserve begins publishing employment data while BLS continues its own. - BLS website outage delays posting, but data is released via other channels. - BLS publishes preliminary data pending final adjustments. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ceases regular publication of any of the following reports: monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate), Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), Employment Cost Index, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

For purposes of this market, “ceases regular publication” means any of the following:

- The BLS officially announces it will no longer publish the report on its regular schedule.
- The BLS misses three consecutive scheduled releases of the report without providing the data within 30 days of each scheduled release date.
- The BLS announces that the report is discontinued, terminated, or permanently suspended.
- Legislative or executive action explicitly prohibits or defunds the publication of the report.

The following do NOT qualify as cessation:
- Temporary delays or postponements followed by subsequent publication (including delays caused by government shutdowns).
- Changes in methodology, seasonal adjustment, or calculation methods while continuing publication.
- Changes in publication frequency (e.g., monthly to quarterly) while maintaining regular releases.
- Format changes (e.g., digital-only, layout changes).
- Publishing preliminary or partial data with full data forthcoming.
- Changes to specific components within a report while the overall data series continues.
- Combining the report with other reports while still publishing the underlying data.
- BLS delays the jobs report due to a shutdown, then publishes it.
- BLS changes CPI methodology but continues publishing monthly CPI.
- BLS shifts employment data from monthly to quarterly.
- The Federal Reserve begins publishing employment data while BLS continues its own.
- BLS website outage delays posting, but data is released via other channels.
- BLS publishes preliminary data pending final adjustments.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$60,086
終了日
2025/12/31
マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2025, 4:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ceases regular publication of any of the following reports: monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate), Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), Employment Cost Index, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." For purposes of this market, “ceases regular publication” means any of the following: - The BLS officially announces it will no longer publish the report on its regular schedule. - The BLS misses three consecutive scheduled releases of the report without providing the data within 30 days of each scheduled release date. - The BLS announces that the report is discontinued, terminated, or permanently suspended. - Legislative or executive action explicitly prohibits or defunds the publication of the report. The following do NOT qualify as cessation: - Temporary delays or postponements followed by subsequent publication (including delays caused by government shutdowns). - Changes in methodology, seasonal adjustment, or calculation methods while continuing publication. - Changes in publication frequency (e.g., monthly to quarterly) while maintaining regular releases. - Format changes (e.g., digital-only, layout changes). - Publishing preliminary or partial data with full data forthcoming. - Changes to specific components within a report while the overall data series continues. - Combining the report with other reports while still publishing the underlying data. - BLS delays the jobs report due to a shutdown, then publishes it. - BLS changes CPI methodology but continues publishing monthly CPI. - BLS shifts employment data from monthly to quarterly. - The Federal Reserve begins publishing employment data while BLS continues its own. - BLS website outage delays posting, but data is released via other channels. - BLS publishes preliminary data pending final adjustments. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ceases regular publication of any of the following reports: monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate), Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), Employment Cost Index, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." For purposes of this market, “ceases regular publication” means any of the following: - The BLS officially announces it will no longer publish the report on its regular schedule. - The BLS misses three consecutive scheduled releases of the report without providing the data within 30 days of each scheduled release date. - The BLS announces that the report is discontinued, terminated, or permanently suspended. - Legislative or executive action explicitly prohibits or defunds the publication of the report. The following do NOT qualify as cessation: - Temporary delays or postponements followed by subsequent publication (including delays caused by government shutdowns). - Changes in methodology, seasonal adjustment, or calculation methods while continuing publication. - Changes in publication frequency (e.g., monthly to quarterly) while maintaining regular releases. - Format changes (e.g., digital-only, layout changes). - Publishing preliminary or partial data with full data forthcoming. - Changes to specific components within a report while the overall data series continues. - Combining the report with other reports while still publishing the underlying data. - BLS delays the jobs report due to a shutdown, then publishes it. - BLS changes CPI methodology but continues publishing monthly CPI. - BLS shifts employment data from monthly to quarterly. - The Federal Reserve begins publishing employment data while BLS continues its own. - BLS website outage delays posting, but data is released via other channels. - BLS publishes preliminary data pending final adjustments. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ceases regular publication of any of the following reports: monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate), Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), Employment Cost Index, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

For purposes of this market, “ceases regular publication” means any of the following:

- The BLS officially announces it will no longer publish the report on its regular schedule.
- The BLS misses three consecutive scheduled releases of the report without providing the data within 30 days of each scheduled release date.
- The BLS announces that the report is discontinued, terminated, or permanently suspended.
- Legislative or executive action explicitly prohibits or defunds the publication of the report.

The following do NOT qualify as cessation:
- Temporary delays or postponements followed by subsequent publication (including delays caused by government shutdowns).
- Changes in methodology, seasonal adjustment, or calculation methods while continuing publication.
- Changes in publication frequency (e.g., monthly to quarterly) while maintaining regular releases.
- Format changes (e.g., digital-only, layout changes).
- Publishing preliminary or partial data with full data forthcoming.
- Changes to specific components within a report while the overall data series continues.
- Combining the report with other reports while still publishing the underlying data.
- BLS delays the jobs report due to a shutdown, then publishes it.
- BLS changes CPI methodology but continues publishing monthly CPI.
- BLS shifts employment data from monthly to quarterly.
- The Federal Reserve begins publishing employment data while BLS continues its own.
- BLS website outage delays posting, but data is released via other channels.
- BLS publishes preliminary data pending final adjustments.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$60,086
終了日
2025/12/31
マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2025, 4:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ceases regular publication of any of the following reports: monthly Employment Situation reports (nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate), Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), Employment Cost Index, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." For purposes of this market, “ceases regular publication” means any of the following: - The BLS officially announces it will no longer publish the report on its regular schedule. - The BLS misses three consecutive scheduled releases of the report without providing the data within 30 days of each scheduled release date. - The BLS announces that the report is discontinued, terminated, or permanently suspended. - Legislative or executive action explicitly prohibits or defunds the publication of the report. The following do NOT qualify as cessation: - Temporary delays or postponements followed by subsequent publication (including delays caused by government shutdowns). - Changes in methodology, seasonal adjustment, or calculation methods while continuing publication. - Changes in publication frequency (e.g., monthly to quarterly) while maintaining regular releases. - Format changes (e.g., digital-only, layout changes). - Publishing preliminary or partial data with full data forthcoming. - Changes to specific components within a report while the overall data series continues. - Combining the report with other reports while still publishing the underlying data. - BLS delays the jobs report due to a shutdown, then publishes it. - BLS changes CPI methodology but continues publishing monthly CPI. - BLS shifts employment data from monthly to quarterly. - The Federal Reserve begins publishing employment data while BLS continues its own. - BLS website outage delays posting, but data is released via other channels. - BLS publishes preliminary data pending final adjustments. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Will BLS stop reporting payroll data this year?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して0%です。例えば、「はい」が0¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を0%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Will BLS stop reporting payroll data this year?」は$60.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 12, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Will BLS stop reporting payroll data this year?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Will BLS stop reporting payroll data this year?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して0%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を0%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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