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2027年までに大統領選挙を発表するのは誰ですか?

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2027年までに大統領選挙を発表するのは誰ですか?

$133,748 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$133,748 Vol.

Polymarket
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フィル・マーフィー

$2,071 Vol.

88%

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キャンディス・オーウェンズ

$0 Vol.

17%

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ギャビン・ニューサム

$0 Vol.

22%

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グレッチェン・ウィットマー

$0 Vol.

16%

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アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス

$17,363 Vol.

16%

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ピート・ブティジェッジ

$0 Vol.

16%

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カマラ・ハリス

$10,049 Vol.

16%

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アンディ・ベシア

$0 Vol.

15%

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J.D.ヴァンス

$10,010 Vol.

14%

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マーク・キューバン

$0 Vol.

14%

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ニッキー・ヘイリー

$1,522 Vol.

14%

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ジョン・フェッターマン

$3,906 Vol.

13%

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ロン・デサンティス

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

ジャレッド・ポリス

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

ラファエル・ワーノック

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

マーク・ケリー

$3,679 Vol.

13%

Market icon

エリーゼ・ステファニク

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

スティーブ・バノン

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

クリスティ・ノーム

$0 Vol.

12%

Market icon

テッド・クルーズ

$0 Vol.

12%

Market icon

ウェス・ムーア

$4,526 Vol.

12%

Market icon

サラ・ハッカビー・サンダース

$0 Vol.

12%

Market icon

アンドリュー・ヤン

$4,478 Vol.

11%

Market icon

トゥルシー・ギャバード

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

ジョン・チューン

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

ヴィベック・ラマスワミ

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

ケイティ・ブリット

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

ジョン・オソフ

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

ラーム・エマニュエル

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

ドウェイン・“ザ・ロック”・ジョンソン

$0 Vol.

10%

Market icon

キム・カーダシアン

$5,049 Vol.

10%

Market icon

スティーブン・A・スミス

$11,733 Vol.

10%

Market icon

J.B.プリツカー

$2,069 Vol.

10%

Market icon

マイク・ペンス

$3,360 Vol.

9%

Market icon

タッカー・カールソン

$2,268 Vol.

9%

Market icon

ドナルド・トランプ・ジュニア

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

ブライアン・ケンプ

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

コリー・ブッカー

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

ベト・オルーク

$4,452 Vol.

9%

Market icon

グレッグ・アボット

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

マージョリー・テイラー・グリーン

$13,302 Vol.

9%

Market icon

イヴァンカ・トランプ

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

トム・ブレイディ

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

ジョージ・クルーニー

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

オプラ・ウィンフリー

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

イーロン・マスク

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

リズ・チェイニー

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

ジョン・スチュワート

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

バーニー・サンダース

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

ジョシュ・ホーリー

$2,951 Vol.

7%

Market icon

ヒラリー・クリントン

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

マルコ・ルビオ

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

ランド・ポール

$8,634 Vol.

7%

Market icon

ロイ・クーパー

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

チェルシー・クリントン

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

バイロン・ドナルズ

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

グレン・ヤンキン

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

ロバート・F・ケネディ・ジュニア

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

ジョシュ・シャピロ

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

ジーナ・ライモンド

$0 Vol.

11%

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マット・ゲーツ

$0 Vol.

6%

Market icon

ティム・ウォルツ

$0 Vol.

6%

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ハンター・バイデン

$0 Vol.

5%

Market icon

エリカ・カーク

$3,619 Vol.

4%

Market icon

ミシェル・オバマ

$0 Vol.

4%

Market icon

ドナルド・トランプ

$0 Vol.

4%

Market icon

バラク・オバマ

$2,496 Vol.

4%

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ゾーラン・マムダニ

$16,213 Vol.

4%

Market icon

MrBeast

$0 Vol.

3%

Market icon

レブロン・ジェームズ

$0 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$133,748
終了日
Dec 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027年までに大統領選挙を発表するのは誰ですか?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 70+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "フィル・マーフィー" at 88%, followed by "ギャビン・ニューサム" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027年までに大統領選挙を発表するのは誰ですか?" has generated $133.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027年までに大統領選挙を発表するのは誰ですか?," browse the 70+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027年までに大統領選挙を発表するのは誰ですか?" is "フィル・マーフィー" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ギャビン・ニューサム" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027年までに大統領選挙を発表するのは誰ですか?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.