Market icon

2027年までに大統領選挙を発表するのは誰ですか?

Market icon

2027年までに大統領選挙を発表するのは誰ですか?

$136,452 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$136,452 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

フィル・マーフィー

$2,145 Vol.

89%

Market icon

キャンディス・オーウェンズ

$0 Vol.

16%

Market icon

J.D.ヴァンス

$11,567 Vol.

19%

Market icon

アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス

$17,523 Vol.

17%

Market icon

グレッチェン・ウィットマー

$0 Vol.

16%

Market icon

カマラ・ハリス

$0 Vol.

16%

Market icon

ピート・ブティジェッジ

$0 Vol.

16%

Market icon

ギャビン・ニューサム

$39,925 Vol.

15%

Market icon

アンディ・ベシア

$0 Vol.

15%

Market icon

クリスティ・ノーム

$2,943 Vol.

14%

Market icon

マーク・キューバン

$0 Vol.

14%

Market icon

ニッキー・ヘイリー

$0 Vol.

14%

Market icon

ジョン・フェッターマン

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

ロン・デサンティス

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

エリーゼ・ステファニク

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

ジャレッド・ポリス

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

ラファエル・ワーノック

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

マーク・ケリー

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

テッド・クルーズ

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

スティーブ・バノン

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

トゥルシー・ギャバード

$1,002 Vol.

12%

Market icon

ジョン・チューン

$1,917 Vol.

12%

Market icon

ウェス・ムーア

$0 Vol.

12%

Market icon

サラ・ハッカビー・サンダース

$0 Vol.

12%

Market icon

アンドリュー・ヤン

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

ヴィベック・ラマスワミ

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

ケイティ・ブリット

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

ジョン・オソフ

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

ラーム・エマニュエル

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

ドウェイン・“ザ・ロック”・ジョンソン

$0 Vol.

10%

Market icon

スティーブン・A・スミス

$11,797 Vol.

10%

Market icon

キム・カーダシアン

$0 Vol.

10%

Market icon

ブライアン・ケンプ

$0 Vol.

10%

Market icon

J.B.プリツカー

$0 Vol.

10%

Market icon

マイク・ペンス

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

ベト・オルーク

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

タッカー・カールソン

$2,468 Vol.

9%

Market icon

ドナルド・トランプ・ジュニア

$3,982 Vol.

9%

Market icon

コリー・ブッカー

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

グレッグ・アボット

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

マージョリー・テイラー・グリーン

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

オプラ・ウィンフリー

$12,375 Vol.

9%

Market icon

イヴァンカ・トランプ

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

ジョージ・クルーニー

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

トム・ブレイディ

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

リズ・チェイニー

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

ジョン・スチュワート

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

バーニー・サンダース

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

イーロン・マスク

$5,606 Vol.

8%

Market icon

ヒラリー・クリントン

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

マルコ・ルビオ

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

ロイ・クーパー

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

チェルシー・クリントン

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

ロバート・F・ケネディ・ジュニア

$3,555 Vol.

7%

Market icon

バイロン・ドナルズ

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

ジョシュ・ホーリー

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

グレン・ヤンキン

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

ランド・ポール

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

ジョシュ・シャピロ

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

ジーナ・ライモンド

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

マット・ゲーツ

$0 Vol.

6%

Market icon

ティム・ウォルツ

$0 Vol.

6%

Market icon

ハンター・バイデン

$0 Vol.

5%

Market icon

エリカ・カーク

$0 Vol.

4%

Market icon

ミシェル・オバマ

$0 Vol.

4%

Market icon

バラク・オバマ

$0 Vol.

4%

Market icon

ドナルド・トランプ

$0 Vol.

4%

Market icon

ゾーラン・マムダニ

$0 Vol.

3%

Market icon

MrBeast

$19,645 Vol.

2%

Market icon

レブロン・ジェームズ

$0 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$136,452
終了日
Dec 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027年までに大統領選挙を発表するのは誰ですか?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 70+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "フィル・マーフィー" at 89%, followed by "J.D.ヴァンス" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027年までに大統領選挙を発表するのは誰ですか?" has generated $136.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027年までに大統領選挙を発表するのは誰ですか?," browse the 70+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027年までに大統領選挙を発表するのは誰ですか?" is "フィル・マーフィー" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "J.D.ヴァンス" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027年までに大統領選挙を発表するのは誰ですか?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.