Following the March 24, 2026, snap general election to the Folketing, Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats secured the most seats at 38 but suffered their worst result in decades, leaving the Red bloc with 86 of 179 seats—short of the 90 needed for a majority. King Frederik X appointed Frederiksen as formateur on March 25 to lead coalition negotiations, initially with Green Left (20 seats) and Social Liberals (10 seats), while Moderates (14 seats, Blue bloc) signal openness to a centrist deal amid cross-bloc talks. No government has formed as of early April, with prior rounds lasting six weeks; sticking points include welfare priorities, green policies, and Greenland autonomy demands. Traders weigh Frederiksen's incumbency edge and historical compromise patterns against rising Danish People's Party (16 seats) influence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$39,622 Vol.
2026/03/24
Social Democrats
94%
Danish Social Liberal Party
83%
Moderates
78%
Green Left
60%
Conservative People’s Party
35%
Venstre
49%
Denmark Democrats
5%
Danish People’s Party
5%
The Alternative
5%
Red–Green Alliance
11%
Liberal Alliance
4%
Inuit Ataqatigiit
2%
Union Party
1%
Naleraq
1%
Citizens’ Party
1%
Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)
1%
$39,622 Vol.
Social Democrats
$1,911 Vol.
94%
Danish Social Liberal Party
$390 Vol.
83%
Moderates
$1,413 Vol.
78%
Green Left
$15,830 Vol.
60%
Conservative People’s Party
$122 Vol.
35%
Venstre
$1,531 Vol.
49%
Denmark Democrats
$209 Vol.
5%
Danish People’s Party
$495 Vol.
5%
The Alternative
$2,967 Vol.
5%
Red–Green Alliance
$1,518 Vol.
11%
Liberal Alliance
$315 Vol.
4%
Inuit Ataqatigiit
$1,332 Vol.
2%
Union Party
$6,700 Vol.
1%
Naleraq
$1,363 Vol.
1%
Citizens’ Party
$3,111 Vol.
1%
Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)
$415 Vol.
1%
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Following the March 24, 2026, snap general election to the Folketing, Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats secured the most seats at 38 but suffered their worst result in decades, leaving the Red bloc with 86 of 179 seats—short of the 90 needed for a majority. King Frederik X appointed Frederiksen as formateur on March 25 to lead coalition negotiations, initially with Green Left (20 seats) and Social Liberals (10 seats), while Moderates (14 seats, Blue bloc) signal openness to a centrist deal amid cross-bloc talks. No government has formed as of early April, with prior rounds lasting six weeks; sticking points include welfare priorities, green policies, and Greenland autonomy demands. Traders weigh Frederiksen's incumbency edge and historical compromise patterns against rising Danish People's Party (16 seats) influence.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
マーケット開始日： Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
音量
$39,622終了日
2026/03/24マーケット開始日
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Following the March 24, 2026, snap general election to the Folketing, Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats secured the most seats at 38 but suffered their worst result in decades, leaving the Red bloc with 86 of 179 seats—short of the 90 needed for a majority. King Frederik X appointed Frederiksen as formateur on March 25 to lead coalition negotiations, initially with Green Left (20 seats) and Social Liberals (10 seats), while Moderates (14 seats, Blue bloc) signal openness to a centrist deal amid cross-bloc talks. No government has formed as of early April, with prior rounds lasting six weeks; sticking points include welfare priorities, green policies, and Greenland autonomy demands. Traders weigh Frederiksen's incumbency edge and historical compromise patterns against rising Danish People's Party (16 seats) influence.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
音量
$39,622終了日
2026/03/24マーケット開始日
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the March 24, 2026, snap general election to the Folketing, Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats secured the most seats at 38 but suffered their worst result in decades, leaving the Red bloc with 86 of 179 seats—short of the 90 needed for a majority. King Frederik X appointed Frederiksen as formateur on March 25 to lead coalition negotiations, initially with Green Left (20 seats) and Social Liberals (10 seats), while Moderates (14 seats, Blue bloc) signal openness to a centrist deal amid cross-bloc talks. No government has formed as of early April, with prior rounds lasting six weeks; sticking points include welfare priorities, green policies, and Greenland autonomy demands. Traders weigh Frederiksen's incumbency edge and historical compromise patterns against rising Danish People's Party (16 seats) influence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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