Avengers: Doomsday holds a commanding 72% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by the Marvel Cinematic Universe's unmatched track record of massive debuts—Infinity War and Endgame each exceeded $250 million domestically—and its prime Memorial Day slot on May 1. The Russo brothers' return to direct, plus Robert Downey Jr.'s high-profile casting as Doctor Doom unveiled at San Diego Comic-Con, has solidified trader consensus on blockbuster potential rivaling past Avengers peaks. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 11% with Tom Holland's draw and No Way Home's $260 million precedent, but its July 31 release faces crowded summer competition. Dune: Messiah and Toy Story 5 lag due to December holidays and Pixar's softer recent openings, while traders monitor upcoming trailers and presale tracking for momentum shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2026年に最大の公開週末を迎えた映画はどれですか？
2026年に最大の公開週末を迎えた映画はどれですか？
アベンジャーズ：ドゥームズデイ 73%
スパイダーマン：ブランド・ニュー・デイ 11%
デューン：メサイア 2.3%
オデッセイ 2.1%
$983,088 Vol.
$983,088 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
アベンジャーズ：ドゥームズデイ
73%
スパイダーマン：ブランド・ニュー・デイ
11%
デューン：メサイア
2%
オデッセイ
2%
トイ・ストーリー5
2%
マイケル
1%
スター・ウォーズ：マンダロリアン＆グローグ
1%
ハンガー・ゲーム0：夜明けの収穫
<1%
プロジェクト・ヘイル・メアリー
<1%
スクリーム7
<1%
アベンジャーズ：ドゥームズデイ 73%
スパイダーマン：ブランド・ニュー・デイ 11%
デューン：メサイア 2.3%
オデッセイ 2.1%
$983,088 Vol.
$983,088 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
アベンジャーズ：ドゥームズデイ
$90,235 Vol.
73%
スパイダーマン：ブランド・ニュー・デイ
$26,768 Vol.
11%
デューン：メサイア
$81,293 Vol.
2%
オデッセイ
$136,484 Vol.
2%
トイ・ストーリー5
$0 Vol.
2%
マイケル
$482,799 Vol.
1%
スター・ウォーズ：マンダロリアン＆グローグ
$0 Vol.
1%
ハンガー・ゲーム0：夜明けの収穫
$0 Vol.
<1%
プロジェクト・ヘイル・メアリー
$0 Vol.
<1%
スクリーム7
$42,654 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday holds a commanding 72% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by the Marvel Cinematic Universe's unmatched track record of massive debuts—Infinity War and Endgame each exceeded $250 million domestically—and its prime Memorial Day slot on May 1. The Russo brothers' return to direct, plus Robert Downey Jr.'s high-profile casting as Doctor Doom unveiled at San Diego Comic-Con, has solidified trader consensus on blockbuster potential rivaling past Avengers peaks. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 11% with Tom Holland's draw and No Way Home's $260 million precedent, but its July 31 release faces crowded summer competition. Dune: Messiah and Toy Story 5 lag due to December holidays and Pixar's softer recent openings, while traders monitor upcoming trailers and presale tracking for momentum shifts.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET
音量
$983,088終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday holds a commanding 72% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by the Marvel Cinematic Universe's unmatched track record of massive debuts—Infinity War and Endgame each exceeded $250 million domestically—and its prime Memorial Day slot on May 1. The Russo brothers' return to direct, plus Robert Downey Jr.'s high-profile casting as Doctor Doom unveiled at San Diego Comic-Con, has solidified trader consensus on blockbuster potential rivaling past Avengers peaks. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 11% with Tom Holland's draw and No Way Home's $260 million precedent, but its July 31 release faces crowded summer competition. Dune: Messiah and Toy Story 5 lag due to December holidays and Pixar's softer recent openings, while traders monitor upcoming trailers and presale tracking for momentum shifts.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$983,088終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Avengers: Doomsday holds a commanding 72% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by the Marvel Cinematic Universe's unmatched track record of massive debuts—Infinity War and Endgame each exceeded $250 million domestically—and its prime Memorial Day slot on May 1. The Russo brothers' return to direct, plus Robert Downey Jr.'s high-profile casting as Doctor Doom unveiled at San Diego Comic-Con, has solidified trader consensus on blockbuster potential rivaling past Avengers peaks. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 11% with Tom Holland's draw and No Way Home's $260 million precedent, but its July 31 release faces crowded summer competition. Dune: Messiah and Toy Story 5 lag due to December holidays and Pixar's softer recent openings, while traders monitor upcoming trailers and presale tracking for momentum shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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