Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Iran" highest at 74% amid recent U.S. military escalations and reports of Operation Epic Fury against Iranian targets, as President Trump remains at the White House working nonstop rather than traveling to Mar-a-Lago over Easter weekend. "Weather / Rain / Raining" follows at 69%, reflecting the outdoor South Lawn event's vulnerability to D.C.'s unpredictable spring conditions, with Trump historically commenting on forecasts during past Egg Rolls. "Jesus Christ" trades at 62% given the holiday theme, while First Lady Melania Trump's April 3 preview highlighted expanded patriotic activities tied to America's 250th anniversary. Remarks expected at 10:30 AM ET April 6 via White House stream; low public sightings since Wednesday add uncertainty to ad-libbed content.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$65,575 Vol.
Farmer
42%
Big Beautiful Bill
14%
Plastic Egg
31%
Jesus Christ
62%
Sleepy Joe / Biden
24%
Weather / Rain / Raining
69%
World Cup
17%
UFC
13%
Ballroom
55%
Construction
37%
Iran
71%
Epic Fury
20%
Obliterated / Obliteration
20%
Women's Sport
20%
SAVE Act / SAVE America Act
10%
Movie star
33%
Eight War
6%
-No Qualifying Event-
3%
$65,575 Vol.
Farmer
42%
Big Beautiful Bill
14%
Plastic Egg
31%
Jesus Christ
62%
Sleepy Joe / Biden
24%
Weather / Rain / Raining
69%
World Cup
17%
UFC
13%
Ballroom
55%
Construction
37%
Iran
71%
Epic Fury
20%
Obliterated / Obliteration
20%
Women's Sport
20%
SAVE Act / SAVE America Act
10%
Movie star
33%
Eight War
6%
-No Qualifying Event-
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Easter Egg Roll scheduled for April 6, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Easter Egg Roll scheduled for April 6, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the official White House live stream video of the events, which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/@WhiteHouse/streams. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 31, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Easter Egg Roll scheduled for April 6, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Easter Egg Roll scheduled for April 6, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the official White House live stream video of the events, which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/@WhiteHouse/streams. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Iran" highest at 74% amid recent U.S. military escalations and reports of Operation Epic Fury against Iranian targets, as President Trump remains at the White House working nonstop rather than traveling to Mar-a-Lago over Easter weekend. "Weather / Rain / Raining" follows at 69%, reflecting the outdoor South Lawn event's vulnerability to D.C.'s unpredictable spring conditions, with Trump historically commenting on forecasts during past Egg Rolls. "Jesus Christ" trades at 62% given the holiday theme, while First Lady Melania Trump's April 3 preview highlighted expanded patriotic activities tied to America's 250th anniversary. Remarks expected at 10:30 AM ET April 6 via White House stream; low public sightings since Wednesday add uncertainty to ad-libbed content.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問