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財務·COMEXゴールド機能

ゴールド（ GC ）は12月末までに何に当たりますか？

Market icon
財務·COMEXゴールド機能

ゴールド（ GC ）は12月末までに何に当たりますか？

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

$172,677 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$172,677 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $15,000

$17,411 Vol.

5%

↑ $12,000

$33,998 Vol.

7%

↑ $10,000

$15,017 Vol.

12%

↑ $8,000

$9,543 Vol.

11%

↑ $7,000

$22,510 Vol.

23%

↑ 6,000ドル

$74,197 Vol.

48%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold (GC) futures have corrected over 20% from a January 2026 peak near $5,600/oz to settle around $4,492 for the March contract as of March 27, driven by hawkish Federal Reserve projections from the March 18-19 FOMC meeting signaling no further rate cuts in 2026 amid elevated core PCE inflation forecasts of 2.7%. February CPI held steady at 2.4% year-over-year, reinforcing tighter monetary policy expectations and bolstering the U.S. Dollar Index near 100, which pressures dollar-denominated gold. Persistent central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions offer tailwinds, but trader consensus via analyst targets (e.g., Goldman Sachs at $5,400 end-2026) reflects balanced risk. Key catalysts include April CPI release and May FOMC, which could recalibrate the policy path and real yield dynamics.

Gold (GC) futures have corrected over 20% from a January 2026 peak near $5,600/oz to settle around $4,492 for the March contract as of March 27, driven by hawkish Federal Reserve projections from the March 18-19 FOMC meeting signaling no further rate cuts in 2026 amid elevated core PCE inflation forecasts of 2.7%. February CPI held steady at 2.4% year-over-year, reinforcing tighter monetary policy expectations and bolstering the U.S. Dollar Index near 100, which pressures dollar-denominated gold. Persistent central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions offer tailwinds, but trader consensus via analyst targets (e.g., Goldman Sachs at $5,400 end-2026) reflects balanced risk. Key catalysts include April CPI release and May FOMC, which could recalibrate the policy path and real yield dynamics.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold (GC) futures have corrected over 20% from a January 2026 peak near $5,600/oz to settle around $4,492 for the March contract as of March 27, driven by hawkish Federal Reserve projections from the March 18-19 FOMC meeting signaling no further rate cuts in 2026 amid elevated core PCE inflation forecasts of 2.7%. February CPI held steady at 2.4% year-over-year, reinforcing tighter monetary policy expectations and bolstering the U.S. Dollar Index near 100, which pressures dollar-denominated gold. Persistent central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions offer tailwinds, but trader consensus via analyst targets (e.g., Goldman Sachs at $5,400 end-2026) reflects balanced risk. Key catalysts include April CPI release and May FOMC, which could recalibrate the policy path and real yield dynamics.

Gold (GC) futures have corrected over 20% from a January 2026 peak near $5,600/oz to settle around $4,492 for the March contract as of March 27, driven by hawkish Federal Reserve projections from the March 18-19 FOMC meeting signaling no further rate cuts in 2026 amid elevated core PCE inflation forecasts of 2.7%. February CPI held steady at 2.4% year-over-year, reinforcing tighter monetary policy expectations and bolstering the U.S. Dollar Index near 100, which pressures dollar-denominated gold. Persistent central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions offer tailwinds, but trader consensus via analyst targets (e.g., Goldman Sachs at $5,400 end-2026) reflects balanced risk. Key catalysts include April CPI release and May FOMC, which could recalibrate the policy path and real yield dynamics.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「ゴールド（ GC ）は12月末までに何に当たりますか？」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「↑ 6,000ドル」で48%、次いで「↑ $7,000」が23%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、48¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に48%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ゴールド（ GC ）は12月末までに何に当たりますか？」は$172.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 29, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ゴールド（ GC ）は12月末までに何に当たりますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ゴールド（ GC ）は12月末までに何に当たりますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「↑ 6,000ドル」で48%であり、市場がこの結果に48%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「↑ $7,000」で23%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ゴールド（ GC ）は12月末までに何に当たりますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。