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トランプ大統領の承認今週はアップかダウンか?

Market icon

トランプ大統領の承認今週はアップかダウンか?

上がった

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$15,866 Vol.

上がった

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$15,866 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 20, 2026, than on February 13, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 13, 2026, than on February 20, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 20, 2026, than on February 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 13, 2026, than on February 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$15,866
終了日
2026/02/21
マーケット開始日
Feb 13, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 20, 2026, than on February 13, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 13, 2026, than on February 20, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

提案された結果: 上がった

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: 上がった

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 20, 2026, than on February 13, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 13, 2026, than on February 20, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 20, 2026, than on February 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 13, 2026, than on February 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$15,866
終了日
2026/02/21
マーケット開始日
Feb 13, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 20, 2026, than on February 13, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 13, 2026, than on February 20, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

提案された結果: 上がった

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: 上がった

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「トランプ大統領の承認今週はアップかダウンか?」はPolymarket上の日次予測市場で、トレーダーはタイトルに指定された日次ウィンドウ内でトランプ大統領の承認今週はアップかダウンか?の価格が始値より高く(「Up」)終わるか低く(「Down」)終わるかのシェアを売買します。現在の市場確率は「上がった」に対して100%です。価格100%は、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。価格はトレーダーがトランプ大統領の承認今週はアップかダウンか?のライブ価格変動に反応するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ大統領の承認今週はアップかダウンか?」は$15.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています。トランプ大統領の承認今週はアップかダウンか? Up or Downマーケットはライブの価格変動にリアルタイムで反応する活発なトレーダーを引き付けます。この活動レベルにより、現在のUp/Downオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることが保証されます。このページでライブ価格を追跡し、直接取引できます。

「トランプ大統領の承認今週はアップかダウンか?」で取引するには、February 20の正午ETにおけるトランプ大統領の承認今週はアップかダウンか?の価格がFebruary 13の正午ETより高くなる(「Up」)か低くなる(「Down」)かを判断してください。価格が上がると思えば「Up」を、下がると思えば「Down」を購入します。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。結果が正しければ、各シェアは$1.00を支払います。正しくなければ、シェアは$0の価値になります。

この日次ウィンドウは閉じられ、決済されました。最終結果は「上がった」でした。このページ上部の時間ナビゲーションを使用して、隣接するウィンドウを表示するか、現在のライブ市場を見つけてください。

「トランプ大統領の承認今週はアップかダウンか?」市場は、February 20の正午ETとFebruary 13の正午ETにおけるトランプ大統領の承認今週はアップかダウンか?の価格の比較に基づいて決済されます。Binance TRUMP-APPROVAL/USDTの1分キャンドル終値を使用します。February 20の正午価格が高ければ結果は「Up」、低ければ「Down」、同じであれば市場は50-50で決済されます。「ルール」セクションで完全な基準を確認できます。