Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in President Trump's job approval rating at 39.0–39.4% as of April 3, 2026, reflecting updated polling averages from sources like Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin and CNN/SSRS, which confirmed a fresh second-term low below 40%. This commanding position stems from surging gas prices and economic discontent tied to the ongoing Iran war, compounded by the longest partial government shutdown in U.S. history affecting DHS operations, declining support from core Republican voters, and broad disapproval on inflation, immigration, and tariffs ahead of 2026 midterms. While definitive poll releases drive the 100% certainty, potential challenges could arise from methodological revisions, late-breaking Rasmussen adjustments, or rapid de-escalation in Iran shifting sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Trump approval rating on April 3?
Trump approval rating on April 3?
39.0–39.4 100.0%
<39.0 <1%
39.5–39.9 <1%
40.0–40.4 <1%
$205,712 Vol.
$205,712 Vol.
2026/04/04
<39.0
No
39.0–39.4
Yes
39.5–39.9
No
40.0–40.4
No
40.5–40.9
No
41.0+
No
39.0–39.4 100.0%
<39.0 <1%
39.5–39.9 <1%
40.0–40.4 <1%
$205,712 Vol.
$205,712 Vol.
2026/04/04
<39.0
$22,271 Vol.
No
39.0–39.4
$27,734 Vol.
Yes
39.5–39.9
$70,402 Vol.
No
40.0–40.4
$62,988 Vol.
No
40.5–40.9
$12,887 Vol.
No
41.0+
$9,430 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in President Trump's job approval rating at 39.0–39.4% as of April 3, 2026, reflecting updated polling averages from sources like Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin and CNN/SSRS, which confirmed a fresh second-term low below 40%. This commanding position stems from surging gas prices and economic discontent tied to the ongoing Iran war, compounded by the longest partial government shutdown in U.S. history affecting DHS operations, declining support from core Republican voters, and broad disapproval on inflation, immigration, and tariffs ahead of 2026 midterms. While definitive poll releases drive the 100% certainty, potential challenges could arise from methodological revisions, late-breaking Rasmussen adjustments, or rapid de-escalation in Iran shifting sentiment.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
音量
$205,712終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in President Trump's job approval rating at 39.0–39.4% as of April 3, 2026, reflecting updated polling averages from sources like Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin and CNN/SSRS, which confirmed a fresh second-term low below 40%. This commanding position stems from surging gas prices and economic discontent tied to the ongoing Iran war, compounded by the longest partial government shutdown in U.S. history affecting DHS operations, declining support from core Republican voters, and broad disapproval on inflation, immigration, and tariffs ahead of 2026 midterms. While definitive poll releases drive the 100% certainty, potential challenges could arise from methodological revisions, late-breaking Rasmussen adjustments, or rapid de-escalation in Iran shifting sentiment.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$205,712終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in President Trump's job approval rating at 39.0–39.4% as of April 3, 2026, reflecting updated polling averages from sources like Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin and CNN/SSRS, which confirmed a fresh second-term low below 40%. This commanding position stems from surging gas prices and economic discontent tied to the ongoing Iran war, compounded by the longest partial government shutdown in U.S. history affecting DHS operations, declining support from core Republican voters, and broad disapproval on inflation, immigration, and tariffs ahead of 2026 midterms. While definitive poll releases drive the 100% certainty, potential challenges could arise from methodological revisions, late-breaking Rasmussen adjustments, or rapid de-escalation in Iran shifting sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問