Trader sentiment on silver futures (SI) prices ending above key thresholds by June 30 reflects a tug-of-war between persistent supply deficits—now in their sixth year—and macroeconomic headwinds, with spot prices consolidating near $68.50/oz after a 5% surge on March 26 amid US-Iran tensions and USD softening, followed by a pullback to $67.50 on the March 2026 contract amid profit-taking. Strong industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics offsets investment flows tied to Fed policy expectations, where markets price in potential rate cuts if April CPI (due mid-month) softens further. Upcoming FOMC meetings on April 29-30 and June 17-18, alongside nonfarm payrolls, will shape USD strength and precious metals pricing, with historical base rates suggesting volatility around 20-30% swings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$206,668 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$140
11%
120ドル
22%
110ドル
26%
100ドル
31%
95ドル
30%
90ドル
33%
85ドル
43%
80ドル
42%
75ドル
44%
70ドル
51%
$65
60%
60ドル
63%
$206,668 Vol.
$140
$21,509 Vol.
11%
120ドル
$10,155 Vol.
22%
110ドル
$5,232 Vol.
26%
100ドル
$3,505 Vol.
31%
95ドル
$23,590 Vol.
30%
90ドル
$47,840 Vol.
33%
85ドル
$40,937 Vol.
43%
80ドル
$16,758 Vol.
42%
75ドル
$7,488 Vol.
44%
70ドル
$17,489 Vol.
51%
$65
$5,763 Vol.
60%
60ドル
$6,400 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Trader sentiment on silver futures (SI) prices ending above key thresholds by June 30 reflects a tug-of-war between persistent supply deficits—now in their sixth year—and macroeconomic headwinds, with spot prices consolidating near $68.50/oz after a 5% surge on March 26 amid US-Iran tensions and USD softening, followed by a pullback to $67.50 on the March 2026 contract amid profit-taking. Strong industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics offsets investment flows tied to Fed policy expectations, where markets price in potential rate cuts if April CPI (due mid-month) softens further. Upcoming FOMC meetings on April 29-30 and June 17-18, alongside nonfarm payrolls, will shape USD strength and precious metals pricing, with historical base rates suggesting volatility around 20-30% swings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
マーケット開始日： Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
音量
$206,668終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Trader sentiment on silver futures (SI) prices ending above key thresholds by June 30 reflects a tug-of-war between persistent supply deficits—now in their sixth year—and macroeconomic headwinds, with spot prices consolidating near $68.50/oz after a 5% surge on March 26 amid US-Iran tensions and USD softening, followed by a pullback to $67.50 on the March 2026 contract amid profit-taking. Strong industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics offsets investment flows tied to Fed policy expectations, where markets price in potential rate cuts if April CPI (due mid-month) softens further. Upcoming FOMC meetings on April 29-30 and June 17-18, alongside nonfarm payrolls, will shape USD strength and precious metals pricing, with historical base rates suggesting volatility around 20-30% swings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
音量
$206,668終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on silver futures (SI) prices ending above key thresholds by June 30 reflects a tug-of-war between persistent supply deficits—now in their sixth year—and macroeconomic headwinds, with spot prices consolidating near $68.50/oz after a 5% surge on March 26 amid US-Iran tensions and USD softening, followed by a pullback to $67.50 on the March 2026 contract amid profit-taking. Strong industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics offsets investment flows tied to Fed policy expectations, where markets price in potential rate cuts if April CPI (due mid-month) softens further. Upcoming FOMC meetings on April 29-30 and June 17-18, alongside nonfarm payrolls, will shape USD strength and precious metals pricing, with historical base rates suggesting volatility around 20-30% swings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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