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急選挙後の日本の内閣総理大臣?

Market icon

急選挙後の日本の内閣総理大臣?

高市早苗 100.0%

小泉進次郎 <1%

野田佳彦 <1%

斉藤鉄夫 <1%

Polymarket

$8,537,491 Vol.

高市早苗 100.0%

小泉進次郎 <1%

野田佳彦 <1%

斉藤鉄夫 <1%

Polymarket

$8,537,491 Vol.

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高市早苗

$2,165,662 Vol.

はい

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小泉進次郎

$200,108 Vol.

いいえ

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野田佳彦

$809,652 Vol.

いいえ

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斉藤鉄夫

$229,809 Vol.

いいえ

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吉村洋文

$145,206 Vol.

いいえ

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茂木敏充

$221,328 Vol.

いいえ

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小林鷹之

$156,345 Vol.

いいえ

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玉木雄一郎

$248,929 Vol.

いいえ

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林芳正

$552,554 Vol.

いいえ

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河野太郎

$933,653 Vol.

いいえ

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上川陽子

$183,708 Vol.

いいえ

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藤田文武

$2,690,536 Vol.

いいえ

General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Prime Minister of Japan, as a result of this election.

This market will resolve to Sanae Takaichi if she remains Prime Minister as a result of this election. Any other individual must be formally appointed by the Japanese Emperor to qualify.

If the results of this election are not officially released by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Japanese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$8,537,491
終了日
Feb 8, 2026
マーケット開始日
Jan 20, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Prime Minister of Japan, as a result of this election. This market will resolve to Sanae Takaichi if she remains Prime Minister as a result of this election. Any other individual must be formally appointed by the Japanese Emperor to qualify. If the results of this election are not officially released by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Japanese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立て

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"急選挙後の日本の内閣総理大臣?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "高市早苗" at 100%, followed by "小泉進次郎" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "急選挙後の日本の内閣総理大臣?" has generated $8.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "急選挙後の日本の内閣総理大臣?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "急選挙後の日本の内閣総理大臣?" is "高市早苗" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "小泉進次郎" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "急選挙後の日本の内閣総理大臣?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.