Market icon

Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?

Market icon

Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

150-160mm 55%

160-170mm 36%

180-190mm 3.0%

170-180mm 2.9%

Polymarket
NEW

150-160mm 55%

160-170mm 36%

180-190mm 3.0%

170-180mm 2.9%

Polymarket
NEW

<150mm

$5,944 Vol.

3%

150-160mm

$835 Vol.

55%

160-170mm

$324 Vol.

36%

170-180mm

$234 Vol.

3%

180-190mm

$176 Vol.

9%

190-200mm

$174 Vol.

3%

200mm+

$487 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between March 1 and March 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in March 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory data shows March 2026 rainfall accumulating to 149.7 mm by March 26—over twice the normal 71 mm to that date—driven by early-month heavy showers, including a record 68 mm daily maximum on March 3. Lighter conditions followed, with minimal precipitation on March 27-28 and isolated light rain patches amid cloudy skies on March 29. Forecasts from the Observatory predict unsettled weather with possible showers through March 31, but traders anticipate limited further accumulation, implying a final total of 150-160 mm (54.5%) or 160-170 mm (35.5%) based on this trajectory and spring near-normal rainfall outlook. This wetter-than-average pattern reflects broader 2026 accumulations exceeding norms.

Hong Kong Observatory data shows March 2026 rainfall accumulating to 149.7 mm by March 26—over twice the normal 71 mm to that date—driven by early-month heavy showers, including a record 68 mm daily maximum on March 3. Lighter conditions followed, with minimal precipitation on March 27-28 and isolated light rain patches amid cloudy skies on March 29. Forecasts from the Observatory predict unsettled weather with possible showers through March 31, but traders anticipate limited further accumulation, implying a final total of 150-160 mm (54.5%) or 160-170 mm (35.5%) based on this trajectory and spring near-normal rainfall outlook. This wetter-than-average pattern reflects broader 2026 accumulations exceeding norms.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between March 1 and March 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in March 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory data shows March 2026 rainfall accumulating to 149.7 mm by March 26—over twice the normal 71 mm to that date—driven by early-month heavy showers, including a record 68 mm daily maximum on March 3. Lighter conditions followed, with minimal precipitation on March 27-28 and isolated light rain patches amid cloudy skies on March 29. Forecasts from the Observatory predict unsettled weather with possible showers through March 31, but traders anticipate limited further accumulation, implying a final total of 150-160 mm (54.5%) or 160-170 mm (35.5%) based on this trajectory and spring near-normal rainfall outlook. This wetter-than-average pattern reflects broader 2026 accumulations exceeding norms.

Hong Kong Observatory data shows March 2026 rainfall accumulating to 149.7 mm by March 26—over twice the normal 71 mm to that date—driven by early-month heavy showers, including a record 68 mm daily maximum on March 3. Lighter conditions followed, with minimal precipitation on March 27-28 and isolated light rain patches amid cloudy skies on March 29. Forecasts from the Observatory predict unsettled weather with possible showers through March 31, but traders anticipate limited further accumulation, implying a final total of 150-160 mm (54.5%) or 160-170 mm (35.5%) based on this trajectory and spring near-normal rainfall outlook. This wetter-than-average pattern reflects broader 2026 accumulations exceeding norms.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「150-160mm」で55%、次いで「160-170mm」が36%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、55¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に55%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 13, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?」の現在のフロントランナーは「150-160mm」で55%であり、市場がこの結果に55%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「160-170mm」で36%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。