Trader consensus heavily favors 72–73 million views on day 4 for MrBeast's latest video, "I Survived 50 Hours in Antarctica," with an 83.5% implied probability, driven by his unmatched YouTube view velocity and historical benchmarks—recent uploads like "Last to Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000" hit 74 million by day 4, while "Ages 1-100 Fight Squid Game" reached 72 million. Early metrics show this video exploding past 50 million in 24 hours, fueled by algorithmic prioritization, 300 million+ subscribers, and cross-platform hype on TikTok and X. Minor upside risks to 73–74 million stem from weekend momentum, but softening ad revenue trends cap extreme outliers like 75 million+, keeping lower bins negligible amid steady cultural dominance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日# of views of next MrBeast video day 4?
# of views of next MrBeast video day 4?
72–73M 85%
71–72M 13%
73–74M 2.5%
70–71M <1%
$801,534 Vol.
$801,534 Vol.
<69M
<1%
69–70M
<1%
70–71M
1%
71–72M
13%
72–73M
85%
73–74M
3%
74–75M
<1%
75M+
<1%
72–73M 85%
71–72M 13%
73–74M 2.5%
70–71M <1%
$801,534 Vol.
$801,534 Vol.
<69M
<1%
69–70M
<1%
70–71M
1%
71–72M
13%
72–73M
85%
73–74M
3%
74–75M
<1%
75M+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 72–73 million views on day 4 for MrBeast's latest video, "I Survived 50 Hours in Antarctica," with an 83.5% implied probability, driven by his unmatched YouTube view velocity and historical benchmarks—recent uploads like "Last to Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000" hit 74 million by day 4, while "Ages 1-100 Fight Squid Game" reached 72 million. Early metrics show this video exploding past 50 million in 24 hours, fueled by algorithmic prioritization, 300 million+ subscribers, and cross-platform hype on TikTok and X. Minor upside risks to 73–74 million stem from weekend momentum, but softening ad revenue trends cap extreme outliers like 75 million+, keeping lower bins negligible amid steady cultural dominance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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