Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for 2.2M-2.4M TSA checkpoint passengers on March 25, driven by the official Transportation Security Administration release yesterday confirming 2,317,895 travelers screened—squarely within the bin amid peak spring break demand. This figure reflects robust consumer spending on leisure travel, up from 2.1M the prior day and aligning with seasonal averages of 2.3M during March holidays, underscoring resilient U.S. economic activity despite high interest rates. Strong positioning stems from the data's finality, with negligible volume on alternatives; a realistic challenge would require an unprecedented revision by TSA, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily tallies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2.2M-2.4M 100.0%
<2.2M <1%
2.4M-2.6M <1%
2.6M-2.8M <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
2026/03/25
<2.2M
No
2.2M-2.4M
Yes
2.4M-2.6M
No
2.6M-2.8M
No
2.8M-3.0M
No
>3.0M
No
2.2M-2.4M 100.0%
<2.2M <1%
2.4M-2.6M <1%
2.6M-2.8M <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
2026/03/25
<2.2M
$0 Vol.
No
2.2M-2.4M
$0 Vol.
Yes
2.4M-2.6M
$0 Vol.
No
2.6M-2.8M
$0 Vol.
No
2.8M-3.0M
$0 Vol.
No
>3.0M
$0 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 25, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for 2.2M-2.4M TSA checkpoint passengers on March 25, driven by the official Transportation Security Administration release yesterday confirming 2,317,895 travelers screened—squarely within the bin amid peak spring break demand. This figure reflects robust consumer spending on leisure travel, up from 2.1M the prior day and aligning with seasonal averages of 2.3M during March holidays, underscoring resilient U.S. economic activity despite high interest rates. Strong positioning stems from the data's finality, with negligible volume on alternatives; a realistic challenge would require an unprecedented revision by TSA, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily tallies.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 25, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 23, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/03/25マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 5:51 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 25, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for 2.2M-2.4M TSA checkpoint passengers on March 25, driven by the official Transportation Security Administration release yesterday confirming 2,317,895 travelers screened—squarely within the bin amid peak spring break demand. This figure reflects robust consumer spending on leisure travel, up from 2.1M the prior day and aligning with seasonal averages of 2.3M during March holidays, underscoring resilient U.S. economic activity despite high interest rates. Strong positioning stems from the data's finality, with negligible volume on alternatives; a realistic challenge would require an unprecedented revision by TSA, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily tallies.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 25, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
音量
$0終了日
2026/03/25マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 5:51 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for 2.2M-2.4M TSA checkpoint passengers on March 25, driven by the official Transportation Security Administration release yesterday confirming 2,317,895 travelers screened—squarely within the bin amid peak spring break demand. This figure reflects robust consumer spending on leisure travel, up from 2.1M the prior day and aligning with seasonal averages of 2.3M during March holidays, underscoring resilient U.S. economic activity despite high interest rates. Strong positioning stems from the data's finality, with negligible volume on alternatives; a realistic challenge would require an unprecedented revision by TSA, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily tallies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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