Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability for 2.6-2.8 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 2, reflecting sustained spring break momentum and pre-Easter travel ramp-up despite recent government shutdown disruptions. Yesterday's April 1 screening totaled 2.36 million, following a March 31 low of 2.15 million amid TSA staffing strains, but rebounds to 2.76 million on March 29 and a seven-day average of 2.54 million signal renewed volume. Airlines for America forecasts a record 2.8 million daily average through April 30, bolstering higher buckets, while improving lines post-payroll resolution reduce downside risks for sub-2.4 million outcomes. Resolution hinges on final TSA data release later today ahead of Easter Sunday April 5.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2.6M-2.8M 92%
3.0M-3.2M <1%
<2.4M 0
2.4M-2.6M 0
$2,683 Vol.
$2,683 Vol.
2026/04/02
<2.4M
-
2.4M-2.6M
44%
2.6M-2.8M
76%
2.8M-3.0M
27%
3.0M-3.2M
1%
>3.2M
39%
2.6M-2.8M 92%
3.0M-3.2M <1%
<2.4M 0
2.4M-2.6M 0
$2,683 Vol.
$2,683 Vol.
2026/04/02
<2.4M
$278 Vol.
-
2.4M-2.6M
$777 Vol.
44%
2.6M-2.8M
$336 Vol.
76%
2.8M-3.0M
$391 Vol.
27%
3.0M-3.2M
$526 Vol.
1%
>3.2M
$376 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 2, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability for 2.6-2.8 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 2, reflecting sustained spring break momentum and pre-Easter travel ramp-up despite recent government shutdown disruptions. Yesterday's April 1 screening totaled 2.36 million, following a March 31 low of 2.15 million amid TSA staffing strains, but rebounds to 2.76 million on March 29 and a seven-day average of 2.54 million signal renewed volume. Airlines for America forecasts a record 2.8 million daily average through April 30, bolstering higher buckets, while improving lines post-payroll resolution reduce downside risks for sub-2.4 million outcomes. Resolution hinges on final TSA data release later today ahead of Easter Sunday April 5.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 2, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 27, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
音量
$2,683終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 5:25 PM ETThis market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 2, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability for 2.6-2.8 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 2, reflecting sustained spring break momentum and pre-Easter travel ramp-up despite recent government shutdown disruptions. Yesterday's April 1 screening totaled 2.36 million, following a March 31 low of 2.15 million amid TSA staffing strains, but rebounds to 2.76 million on March 29 and a seven-day average of 2.54 million signal renewed volume. Airlines for America forecasts a record 2.8 million daily average through April 30, bolstering higher buckets, while improving lines post-payroll resolution reduce downside risks for sub-2.4 million outcomes. Resolution hinges on final TSA data release later today ahead of Easter Sunday April 5.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 2, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
音量
$2,683終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 5:25 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability for 2.6-2.8 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 2, reflecting sustained spring break momentum and pre-Easter travel ramp-up despite recent government shutdown disruptions. Yesterday's April 1 screening totaled 2.36 million, following a March 31 low of 2.15 million amid TSA staffing strains, but rebounds to 2.76 million on March 29 and a seven-day average of 2.54 million signal renewed volume. Airlines for America forecasts a record 2.8 million daily average through April 30, bolstering higher buckets, while improving lines post-payroll resolution reduce downside risks for sub-2.4 million outcomes. Resolution hinges on final TSA data release later today ahead of Easter Sunday April 5.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問