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icon for 新しいハーフライフゲームまでに... ？

新しいハーフライフゲームまでに... ？

icon for 新しいハーフライフゲームまでに... ？

新しいハーフライフゲームまでに... ？

$16,668 Vol.

2026/06/30
Polymarket

$16,668 Vol.

Polymarket

2026年6月30日

$4,504 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.Valve's long-dormant Half-Life franchise has seen renewed development momentum for a rumored mainline sequel internally codenamed HLX, with dataminers confirming internal and friends-and-family playtests began in late 2024 and continued into 2025, signaling advanced polish on Source 2. Industry insiders link the project to Valve's new Steam hardware lineup, including the Steam Machine, targeting a Spring 2026 launch window where the game could serve as a flagship title. No official confirmation or trailer has emerged despite heightened speculation around late 2025 hardware reveals and Valve's 30th anniversary in 2026, consistent with the studio's secretive approach and history of extended iteration. Key upcoming catalysts include potential announcements tied to hardware pricing resolutions or major gaming events, though Valve's flexible timelines introduce ongoing uncertainty for any release timeline.

This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
音量
$16,668
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Nov 20, 2025, 3:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.Valve's long-dormant Half-Life franchise has seen renewed development momentum for a rumored mainline sequel internally codenamed HLX, with dataminers confirming internal and friends-and-family playtests began in late 2024 and continued into 2025, signaling advanced polish on Source 2. Industry insiders link the project to Valve's new Steam hardware lineup, including the Steam Machine, targeting a Spring 2026 launch window where the game could serve as a flagship title. No official confirmation or trailer has emerged despite heightened speculation around late 2025 hardware reveals and Valve's 30th anniversary in 2026, consistent with the studio's secretive approach and history of extended iteration. Key upcoming catalysts include potential announcements tied to hardware pricing resolutions or major gaming events, though Valve's flexible timelines introduce ongoing uncertainty for any release timeline.

This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
音量
$16,668
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Nov 20, 2025, 3:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.

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よくある質問

「新しいハーフライフゲームまでに... ？」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2026年6月30日」で10%、次いで「2025年12月31日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、10¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に10%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「新しいハーフライフゲームまでに... ？」は$16.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 20, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「新しいハーフライフゲームまでに... ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「新しいハーフライフゲームまでに... ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「2026年6月30日」で10%であり、市場がこの結果に10%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2025年12月31日」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「新しいハーフライフゲームまでに... ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。