Market icon

新しいハーフライフゲームまでに... ?

Market icon

新しいハーフライフゲームまでに... ?

$10,681 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$10,681 Vol.

Polymarket

2026年3月31日

$0 Vol.

5%

2026年6月30日

$0 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.Valve's enduring silence on a new Half-Life entry since Half-Life: Alyx's 2020 VR launch continues to define trader consensus, with no confirmed announcements or leaks in the past 30 days amid the studio's focus on multiplayer titles like the ongoing Deadlock playtests and Counter-Strike 2 updates. Fan speculation persists via datamined files and developer streams from figures like Tyler McVicker, but industry dynamics favor Valve's platform-first strategy over single-player sequels, echoing historical delays for the iconic FPS franchise. Watch The Game Awards in December and Steam's Winter Sale for potential teases, as gaming events often spark surprise reveals that could shift market-implied odds rapidly.

This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
音量
$10,681
終了日
Jun 30, 2026
マーケット開始日
Nov 20, 2025, 3:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.Valve's enduring silence on a new Half-Life entry since Half-Life: Alyx's 2020 VR launch continues to define trader consensus, with no confirmed announcements or leaks in the past 30 days amid the studio's focus on multiplayer titles like the ongoing Deadlock playtests and Counter-Strike 2 updates. Fan speculation persists via datamined files and developer streams from figures like Tyler McVicker, but industry dynamics favor Valve's platform-first strategy over single-player sequels, echoing historical delays for the iconic FPS franchise. Watch The Game Awards in December and Steam's Winter Sale for potential teases, as gaming events often spark surprise reveals that could shift market-implied odds rapidly.

Valve's enduring silence on a new Half-Life entry since Half-Life: Alyx's 2020 VR launch continues to define trader consensus, with no confirmed announcements or leaks in the past 30 days amid the studio's focus on multiplayer titles like the ongoing Deadlock playtests and Counter-Strike 2 updates. Fan speculation persists via datamined files and developer streams from figures like Tyler McVicker, but industry dynamics favor Valve's platform-first strategy over single-player sequels, echoing historical delays for the iconic FPS franchise. Watch The Game Awards in December and Steam's Winter Sale for potential teases, as gaming events often spark surprise reveals that could shift market-implied odds rapidly.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「新しいハーフライフゲームまでに... ?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2026年6月30日」で38%、次いで「2026年3月31日」が5%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、38¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に38%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「新しいハーフライフゲームまでに... ?」は$10.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 20, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「新しいハーフライフゲームまでに... ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「新しいハーフライフゲームまでに... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「2026年6月30日」で38%であり、市場がこの結果に38%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2026年3月31日」で5%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「新しいハーフライフゲームまでに... ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。