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NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed

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NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed

1 72%

3 16%

2 15%

9 7.8%

Polymarket
NEW

1 72%

3 16%

2 15%

9 7.8%

Polymarket
NEW

1

$823 Vol.

72%

2

$22 Vol.

15%

3

$0 Vol.

16%

6

$0 Vol.

5%

9

$63 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Three No. 1 seeds—Duke, Michigan, and Arizona—advancing to the Elite Eight has driven trader consensus to a 71.5% implied probability for a top seed national champion in the NCAA Tournament, reflecting the wisdom of crowds amid a chalky bracket with minimal upsets. Sweet 16 results over the past 48 hours reinforced this: Michigan cruised past No. 4 seed opponent, Duke held off No. 5 St. John's, and Arizona dominated No. 4 Arkansas by 21 points. No. 3 Illinois' steady form positions its seed at 15.5%, backed by No. 2 seeds UConn and Purdue at 15.0%. No. 9 Iowa's upset over No. 4 Nebraska elevates that outcome to 8.3%, while No. 6 seed progress holds 5.3% amid home-court edges and rest advantages in regional finals.

Three No. 1 seeds—Duke, Michigan, and Arizona—advancing to the Elite Eight has driven trader consensus to a 71.5% implied probability for a top seed national champion in the NCAA Tournament, reflecting the wisdom of crowds amid a chalky bracket with minimal upsets. Sweet 16 results over the past 48 hours reinforced this: Michigan cruised past No. 4 seed opponent, Duke held off No. 5 St. John's, and Arizona dominated No. 4 Arkansas by 21 points. No. 3 Illinois' steady form positions its seed at 15.5%, backed by No. 2 seeds UConn and Purdue at 15.0%. No. 9 Iowa's upset over No. 4 Nebraska elevates that outcome to 8.3%, while No. 6 seed progress holds 5.3% amid home-court edges and rest advantages in regional finals.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Three No. 1 seeds—Duke, Michigan, and Arizona—advancing to the Elite Eight has driven trader consensus to a 71.5% implied probability for a top seed national champion in the NCAA Tournament, reflecting the wisdom of crowds amid a chalky bracket with minimal upsets. Sweet 16 results over the past 48 hours reinforced this: Michigan cruised past No. 4 seed opponent, Duke held off No. 5 St. John's, and Arizona dominated No. 4 Arkansas by 21 points. No. 3 Illinois' steady form positions its seed at 15.5%, backed by No. 2 seeds UConn and Purdue at 15.0%. No. 9 Iowa's upset over No. 4 Nebraska elevates that outcome to 8.3%, while No. 6 seed progress holds 5.3% amid home-court edges and rest advantages in regional finals.

Three No. 1 seeds—Duke, Michigan, and Arizona—advancing to the Elite Eight has driven trader consensus to a 71.5% implied probability for a top seed national champion in the NCAA Tournament, reflecting the wisdom of crowds amid a chalky bracket with minimal upsets. Sweet 16 results over the past 48 hours reinforced this: Michigan cruised past No. 4 seed opponent, Duke held off No. 5 St. John's, and Arizona dominated No. 4 Arkansas by 21 points. No. 3 Illinois' steady form positions its seed at 15.5%, backed by No. 2 seeds UConn and Purdue at 15.0%. No. 9 Iowa's upset over No. 4 Nebraska elevates that outcome to 8.3%, while No. 6 seed progress holds 5.3% amid home-court edges and rest advantages in regional finals.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed」はPolymarket上の16個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「1」で72%、次いで「3」が16%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、72¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に72%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 18, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed」で取引するには、このページに記載されている16個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed」の現在のフロントランナーは「1」で72%であり、市場がこの結果に72%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「3」で16%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。