Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 96.5% implied probability for any player recording a triple-double in the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament, driven by historical scarcity—only 10 official instances across decades of March Madness—and zero occurrences through the First Four, first/second rounds, Sweet 16, and Elite Eight despite 60-plus games played. With defenses intensifying in knockout stages, versatile stat-stuffers rarely hit 10+ in points, rebounds, and assists simultaneously amid tighter rotations and lower possessions. Only three games remain: Final Four semifinals on April 4 in Indianapolis and the championship on April 6, minimizing opportunities. A realistic upset would require an MVP-level explosion from a top playmaker like a high-usage guard or forward in a lopsided matchup, though no one has approached the line recently per official box scores.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
はい
For the purpose of this market, a triple-double is achieved when a player records double digits (10 or more) in three of the following statistical categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks.
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament competition is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a triple-double occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Mar 10, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a triple-double is achieved when a player records double digits (10 or more) in three of the following statistical categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks.
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament competition is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a triple-double occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 96.5% implied probability for any player recording a triple-double in the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament, driven by historical scarcity—only 10 official instances across decades of March Madness—and zero occurrences through the First Four, first/second rounds, Sweet 16, and Elite Eight despite 60-plus games played. With defenses intensifying in knockout stages, versatile stat-stuffers rarely hit 10+ in points, rebounds, and assists simultaneously amid tighter rotations and lower possessions. Only three games remain: Final Four semifinals on April 4 in Indianapolis and the championship on April 6, minimizing opportunities. A realistic upset would require an MVP-level explosion from a top playmaker like a high-usage guard or forward in a lopsided matchup, though no one has approached the line recently per official box scores.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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