With zero buzzer beaters recorded through 60-plus games in the 2024 NCAA Men's Tournament—a slate marked by blowouts and limited late drama—traders price a final total of zero as the heavy favorite, reflecting implied probabilities near 70%. Historically, March Madness averages under one game-winning shot at the buzzer since 1985, with spikes rare amid defensive intensity and shorter shot clocks. Recent Elite Eight results extended the trend of double-digit margins, dimming prospects for the three remaining contests: Final Four semis and championship. Upset potential lingers in high-stakes matchups like Purdue-Duke, but crowd wisdom tilts conservatively given the chalk-heavy bracket.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日1回以上
54%
2以上
20%
3回以上
50%
4回以上
50%
5本以上
50%
6本以上
48%
7本以上
42%
8本以上
1%
9回以上
1%
$3,735 Vol.
1回以上
54%
2以上
20%
3回以上
50%
4回以上
50%
5本以上
50%
6本以上
48%
7本以上
42%
8本以上
1%
9回以上
1%
If no buzzer beater is scored during the 2026 NCAA Tournament, the market will resolve to “No”
A ‘buzzer beater’ is a made field goal that is scored at the expiration (leaving zero seconds on game clock) of any second-half or overtime period during the NCAA Tournament and ties the game or gives the shooting team the lead. First-half buzzer beaters will not count. Shots by a team that is already ahead or behind and that do not result in a tie or lead change will not count. Shots made at the end of the shot clock are not considered buzzer beaters.
If the tournament concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA statistics for completed games.
If the NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the exact number of “buzzer beaters” cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA and its official broadcast partners; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Mar 18, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...With zero buzzer beaters recorded through 60-plus games in the 2024 NCAA Men's Tournament—a slate marked by blowouts and limited late drama—traders price a final total of zero as the heavy favorite, reflecting implied probabilities near 70%. Historically, March Madness averages under one game-winning shot at the buzzer since 1985, with spikes rare amid defensive intensity and shorter shot clocks. Recent Elite Eight results extended the trend of double-digit margins, dimming prospects for the three remaining contests: Final Four semis and championship. Upset potential lingers in high-stakes matchups like Purdue-Duke, but crowd wisdom tilts conservatively given the chalk-heavy bracket.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問