No at 88% reflects the low historical base rate for magnitude 8.0+ events worldwide and the absence of elevated seismic signals or precursors in monitored high-risk zones such as subduction margins. USGS records through late May 2026 show only typical activity, with the strongest recent events reaching magnitude 6.9 and no foreshock sequences or strain anomalies indicating imminent rupture. Short remaining timeframe further reduces odds, as recurrence intervals for megaquakes often span decades to centuries in any given region. Traders weigh these factors against ongoing global monitoring, with any shift likely tied to new USGS data releases or model updates on fault stress.