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政治·市長選挙

マルセイユ市長選挙の勝者

Market icon
政治·市長選挙

マルセイユ市長選挙の勝者

ブノワ・パイヤン 100.0%

Polymarket

$281,124 Vol.

ブノワ・パイヤン 100.0%

Polymarket

$281,124 Vol.

Market icon

ブノワ・パイヤン

$208,644 Vol.

100%

The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Incumbent Benoît Payan, leading a broad left-wing union, decisively won Marseille's municipal election second-round runoff on March 22, 2026, capturing 54% of votes against Rassemblement National's Franck Allisio (39%) and Les Républicains' Martine Vassal, building on his first-round lead of 37%. His official re-election by the municipal council on March 28 solidified control of the city's 101 seats, reflecting strong voter turnout and coalition support amid national trends limiting far-right gains in major cities. Trader consensus at 100% on Payan reflects these confirmed results per official tallies, with resolution tied to council validation; only extraordinary legal challenges, such as a successful recount or court ruling, could disrupt this, though none are pending.

Incumbent Benoît Payan, leading a broad left-wing union, decisively won Marseille's municipal election second-round runoff on March 22, 2026, capturing 54% of votes against Rassemblement National's Franck Allisio (39%) and Les Républicains' Martine Vassal, building on his first-round lead of 37%. His official re-election by the municipal council on March 28 solidified control of the city's 101 seats, reflecting strong voter turnout and coalition support amid national trends limiting far-right gains in major cities. Trader consensus at 100% on Payan reflects these confirmed results per official tallies, with resolution tied to council validation; only extraordinary legal challenges, such as a successful recount or court ruling, could disrupt this, though none are pending.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Incumbent Benoît Payan, leading a broad left-wing union, decisively won Marseille's municipal election second-round runoff on March 22, 2026, capturing 54% of votes against Rassemblement National's Franck Allisio (39%) and Les Républicains' Martine Vassal, building on his first-round lead of 37%. His official re-election by the municipal council on March 28 solidified control of the city's 101 seats, reflecting strong voter turnout and coalition support amid national trends limiting far-right gains in major cities. Trader consensus at 100% on Payan reflects these confirmed results per official tallies, with resolution tied to council validation; only extraordinary legal challenges, such as a successful recount or court ruling, could disrupt this, though none are pending.

Incumbent Benoît Payan, leading a broad left-wing union, decisively won Marseille's municipal election second-round runoff on March 22, 2026, capturing 54% of votes against Rassemblement National's Franck Allisio (39%) and Les Républicains' Martine Vassal, building on his first-round lead of 37%. His official re-election by the municipal council on March 28 solidified control of the city's 101 seats, reflecting strong voter turnout and coalition support amid national trends limiting far-right gains in major cities. Trader consensus at 100% on Payan reflects these confirmed results per official tallies, with resolution tied to council validation; only extraordinary legal challenges, such as a successful recount or court ruling, could disrupt this, though none are pending.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「マルセイユ市長選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ブノワ・パイヤン」で100%、次いで「エルワン・ダヴー」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「マルセイユ市長選挙の勝者」は$281.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 16, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「マルセイユ市長選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「マルセイユ市長選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ブノワ・パイヤン」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「エルワン・ダヴー」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「マルセイユ市長選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。