Official Météo-France observations from Paris-Montsouris and nearby stations confirm the highest temperature on April 1 reached 11°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Persistent low-level cloud cover and a cool northerly airflow—evident in real-time satellite imagery and surface reports—severely limited solar insolation and daytime heating, aligning with European model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) that forecasted highs of 11–13°C amid early spring variability. This outcome fits historical April 1 norms (average high ~13°C) but skewed lower due to absent high-pressure ridging. Post-resolution challenges are minimal, though rare instrument recalibrations or disputes over the reference station could prompt minor revisions; final data validation is expected within 24–48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Paris on April 1?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 1?
11°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$308,390 Vol.
$308,390 Vol.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
11°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$308,390 Vol.
$308,390 Vol.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official Météo-France observations from Paris-Montsouris and nearby stations confirm the highest temperature on April 1 reached 11°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Persistent low-level cloud cover and a cool northerly airflow—evident in real-time satellite imagery and surface reports—severely limited solar insolation and daytime heating, aligning with European model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) that forecasted highs of 11–13°C amid early spring variability. This outcome fits historical April 1 norms (average high ~13°C) but skewed lower due to absent high-pressure ridging. Post-resolution challenges are minimal, though rare instrument recalibrations or disputes over the reference station could prompt minor revisions; final data validation is expected within 24–48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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